Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 02/09, 17:00

Prediction: Narpes Kraft vs FF Jaro II

Team pages: Narpes Kraft · FF Jaro II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.48Total

Narpes Kraft2.58

FF Jaro II1.9

1X2

52% 20% 28%

Narpes Kraft Draw FF Jaro II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Narpes Kraft 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLDLL

FF Jaro II 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLLLLD

Head-to-head

Narpes Kraft 1–1 FF Jaro II (2 last)

Narpes Kraft8-0FF Jaro II
FF Jaro II6-5Narpes Kraft

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Narpes Kraft 1456 · FF Jaro II 1428

	Narpes Kraft	Draw	FF Jaro II
Our model	52%	20%	28%
Market	52%	21%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 4.48 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Narpes Kraft	FF Jaro II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.9	1.3 / 3.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	1.2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.33

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 5.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:03 +3’	1.73	4.33	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Narpes Kraft 1–0–1 FF Jaro II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	8-0 HT 4-0	FF Jaro II
17/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FF Jaro II	6-5 HT 5-3	Narpes Kraft

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	19	12	3	4	55	26	39
2	JBK	19	11	1	7	42	24	34
3	GBK	19	10	3	6	45	35	33
4	FF Jaro II	19	8	2	9	35	56	26
5	VPS-J	19	7	4	8	47	41	25
6	Narpes Kraft	19	7	2	10	50	50	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Narpes Kraft	FF Jaro II
JBK	0-5 L	1-3 L
Huima/Urho	1-3 L	2-6 L
SJK Akatemia II	2-2 D	2-3 L
TP-47	1-2 L	2-0 W
JS Hercules	3-2 W	1-3 L
FC Vaajakoski	2-3 L	2-5 L
GBK	2-6 L	2-2 D
VPS-J	3-2 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Narpes Kraft (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Narpes Kraft

WLWLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	5	4	L
22/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
16/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	7	7	D
08/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
01/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
26/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-3	9	4	L
15/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	3	4	L
12/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
07/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-4	7	5	L
04/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	4-0	8-0	3	1	W

FF Jaro II

LLLWDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
22/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
15/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	1	2	L
07/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	2	5	L
03/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	3	0	L
22/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
18/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	2-5	4	4	L
08/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	7	6	L
04/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-4	0-8	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Narpes Kraft vs FF Jaro II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Narpes Kraft win (52%). Probabilities: Narpes Kraft 52%, draw 20%, FF Jaro II 28%.

How many goals are expected in Narpes Kraft vs FF Jaro II?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Narpes Kraft 2.58 · FF Jaro II 1.9), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Narpes Kraft vs FF Jaro II?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.