Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 12/09, 11:00

Prediction: FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho

Team pages: FF Jaro II · Huima/Urho

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

FF Jaro II1.23

Huima/Urho2.79

1X2

14% 16% 70%

FF Jaro II Draw Huima/Urho

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FF Jaro II 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLDLL

Huima/Urho 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

FF Jaro II 0–2 Huima/Urho (2 last)

FF Jaro II2-6Huima/Urho
Huima/Urho7-1FF Jaro II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FF Jaro II 1399 · Huima/Urho 1616

	FF Jaro II	Draw	Huima/Urho
Our model	14%	17%	69%
Market	14%	16%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huima/Urho (rating 1399 vs 1616).
H2H favours Huima/Urho: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FF Jaro II	Huima/Urho
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 3.1	3.2 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

16.25

X5.75

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.80

Under 4.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:23 +9’	6.25	5.75	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro II 0–0–2 Huima/Urho

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FF Jaro II	2-6 HT 2-2	Huima/Urho
06/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Huima/Urho	7-1 HT 3-1	FF Jaro II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	21	13	4	4	61	27	43
2	GBK	21	11	3	7	52	41	36
3	JBK	21	11	2	8	43	28	35
4	VPS-J	21	9	4	8	57	46	31
5	Narpes Kraft	21	8	2	11	52	56	26
6	FF Jaro II	21	8	2	11	37	62	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FF Jaro II	Huima/Urho
VPS-J	1-4 L	5-0 W
Narpes Kraft	1-2 L	5-0 W
GBK	2-2 D	3-0 W
JS Hercules	1-3 L	0-0 D
JBK	1-3 L	1-1 D
TP-47	2-0 W	4-0 W
FC Vaajakoski	2-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Huima/Urho (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FF Jaro II

LWDLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
02/09	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-2	10	8	L
28/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
22/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
15/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	1	2	L
07/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	2	5	L
03/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	3	0	L
22/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	2-5	4	4	L

Huima/Urho

DWWWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	4	2	W
02/09	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
29/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	6	7	W
22/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
15/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	2	2	W
08/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
01/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	4-0	1	4	W
25/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	11	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Huima/Urho win (70%). Probabilities: FF Jaro II 14%, draw 16%, Huima/Urho 70%.

How many goals are expected in FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho?

The model expects 4.02 goals (FF Jaro II 1.23 · Huima/Urho 2.79), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.