Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: SJK Akatemia II vs FC Vaajakoski

Team pages: SJK Akatemia II · FC Vaajakoski

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

SJK Akatemia II1.92

FC Vaajakoski1.92

1X2

39% 23% 39%

SJK Akatemia II Draw FC Vaajakoski

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SJK Akatemia II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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FC Vaajakoski 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLWDLW

Head-to-head

SJK Akatemia II 2–0 FC Vaajakoski (2 last)

SJK Akatemia II3-0FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski0-2SJK Akatemia II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SJK Akatemia II 1462 · FC Vaajakoski 1485

	SJK Akatemia II	Draw	FC Vaajakoski
Our model	39%	23%	39%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SJK Akatemia II: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK Akatemia II	FC Vaajakoski
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.4	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
08:37 +7’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK Akatemia II 2–0–0 FC Vaajakoski

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Vaajakoski
17/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	0-2 HT 0-0	SJK Akatemia II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	19	7	5	7	31	36	26
2	FC Vaajakoski	19	7	3	9	36	44	24
3	JS Hercules	19	6	3	10	31	44	21
4	SJK Akatemia II	19	5	4	10	28	44	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK Akatemia II	FC Vaajakoski
TP-47	1-3 L	2-4 L
JBK	0-1 L	0-4 L
Narpes Kraft	2-2 D	3-2 W
JS Hercules	2-2 D	2-0 W
GBK	2-4 L	1-1 D
Huima/Urho	0-4 L	0-1 L
VPS-J	2-6 L	3-2 W
FF Jaro II	3-2 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vaajakoski (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK Akatemia II

WWDLLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
22/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
16/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
09/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-4	6	1	L
25/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
19/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	2-6	1	7	L
12/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
08/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	4	6	W
30/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	3	W

FC Vaajakoski

LDWLWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
22/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-4	7	5	L
15/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
08/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
01/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
26/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	3-2	6	4	W
17/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
12/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-2	6	4	W
04/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
30/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK Akatemia II vs FC Vaajakoski?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SJK Akatemia II win (39%). Probabilities: SJK Akatemia II 39%, draw 23%, FC Vaajakoski 39%.

How many goals are expected in SJK Akatemia II vs FC Vaajakoski?

The model expects 3.83 goals (SJK Akatemia II 1.92 · FC Vaajakoski 1.92), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK Akatemia II vs FC Vaajakoski?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.