Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 06/09, 17:30

Prediction: GBK vs JBK

Team pages: GBK · JBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

GBK1.84

JBK1.86

1X2

38% 23% 39%

GBK Draw JBK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

GBK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLDWDL

JBK 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

GBK 4–2–0 JBK (6 last)

GBK2-0JBK
JBK1-2GBK
GBK0-0JBK
JBK1-1GBK
GBK3-0JBK
JBK0-1GBK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GBK 1549 · JBK 1566

	GBK	Draw	JBK
Our model	38%	23%	39%
Market	38%	23%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GBK: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GBK	JBK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 2.1	2.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.2	3.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.6	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.35

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.53 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:53 +17’	2.35	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:33 +97’	2.53	3.97	2.19

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · GBK 4–2–0 JBK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	2-0 HT 2-0	JBK
04/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	1-2 HT 1-1	GBK
07/03/26 Europe Friendlies	GBK	0-0 HT 0-0	JBK
03/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	1-1 HT 1-1	GBK
16/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	3-0 HT 1-0	JBK
16/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	0-1 HT 0-1	GBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	20	12	4	4	56	27	40
2	JBK	20	11	2	7	43	25	35
3	GBK	20	10	3	7	49	41	33
4	VPS-J	20	8	4	8	53	45	28
5	Narpes Kraft	20	8	2	10	52	51	26
6	FF Jaro II	20	8	2	10	36	58	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GBK	JBK
VPS-J	4-6 L	2-0 W
FF Jaro II	2-2 D	3-1 W
FC Vaajakoski	1-1 D	4-0 W
Huima/Urho	0-3 L	1-1 D
SJK Akatemia II	4-2 W	1-0 W
Narpes Kraft	6-2 W	5-0 W
TP-47	4-3 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: JBK (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GBK

WWWDWLDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	4-6	4	1	L
28/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
22/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	4-1	4	3	W
15/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
08/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
01/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-2	4	1	W
22/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	4	4	W
10/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
04/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	4-3	–	–	W

JBK

WLLWWWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	11	7	D
28/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
22/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
16/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-0	7	7	W
07/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
01/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	7	3	W
25/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
18/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	3-5	5	3	L
10/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
07/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-2	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GBK vs JBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JBK win (39%). Probabilities: GBK 38%, draw 23%, JBK 39%.

How many goals are expected in GBK vs JBK?

The model expects 3.69 goals (GBK 1.84 · JBK 1.86), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in GBK vs JBK?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.