Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: GBK vs Narpes Kraft

Team pages: GBK · Narpes Kraft

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.53Total

GBK3.09

Narpes Kraft1.44

1X2

70% 16% 14%

GBK Draw Narpes Kraft

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

GBK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLDWDLW

Narpes Kraft 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDLLWL

Head-to-head

GBK 4–1–1 Narpes Kraft (6 last)

GBK6-2Narpes Kraft
Narpes Kraft6-2GBK
Narpes Kraft2-3GBK
GBK1-1Narpes Kraft
Narpes Kraft1-6GBK
GBK3-2Narpes Kraft

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GBK 1548 · Narpes Kraft 1469

	GBK	Draw	Narpes Kraft
Our model	70%	16%	15%
Market	69%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GBK (rating 1548 vs 1469).
H2H favours GBK: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GBK	Narpes Kraft
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.8	1.6 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.4	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.98

Under 4.51.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
08:08 +33’	1.28	5.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · GBK 4–1–1 Narpes Kraft

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	6-2 HT 2-2	Narpes Kraft
17/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	6-2 HT 3-1	GBK
05/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	2-3 HT 1-1	GBK
26/04/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	1-1 HT 0-0	Narpes Kraft
30/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	1-6 HT 0-2	GBK
13/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	3-2 HT 2-1	Narpes Kraft

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	21	13	4	4	61	27	43
2	GBK	21	11	3	7	52	41	36
3	JBK	21	11	2	8	43	28	35
4	VPS-J	21	9	4	8	57	46	31
5	Narpes Kraft	21	8	2	11	52	56	26
6	FF Jaro II	21	8	2	11	37	62	26

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GBK	Narpes Kraft
JBK	3-0 W	0-5 L
VPS-J	4-6 L	3-2 W
FF Jaro II	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Vaajakoski	1-1 D	2-3 L
Huima/Urho	0-3 L	0-5 L
SJK Akatemia II	4-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GBK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GBK

WWDWLDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
02/09	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	4-6	4	1	L
28/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
22/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	4-1	4	3	W
15/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
08/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
01/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-2	4	1	W
22/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	4	4	W
10/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	2-0	4	6	W

Narpes Kraft

WLLWLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	4	2	L
02/09	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-1	5	8	W
28/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	5	4	L
22/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
16/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	7	7	D
08/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
01/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
26/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-3	9	4	L
15/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	3	4	L
12/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-2	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GBK vs Narpes Kraft?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GBK win (70%). Probabilities: GBK 70%, draw 16%, Narpes Kraft 14%.

How many goals are expected in GBK vs Narpes Kraft?

The model expects 4.53 goals (GBK 3.09 · Narpes Kraft 1.44), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in GBK vs Narpes Kraft?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.