Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 02/09, 17:30

Prediction: VPS-J vs GBK

Team pages: VPS-J · GBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.37Total

VPS-J2.35

GBK2.02

1X2

45% 22% 33%

VPS-J Draw GBK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

VPS-J 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWLL

GBK 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWLDWD

Head-to-head

VPS-J 2–4 GBK (6 last)

GBK4-1VPS-J
VPS-J3-4GBK
GBK3-0VPS-J
VPS-J3-0GBK
VPS-J0-1GBK
GBK0-3VPS-J

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VPS-J 1489 · GBK 1573

	VPS-J	Draw	GBK
Our model	46%	21%	34%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 4.37 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GBK (rating 1489 vs 1573).
H2H favours GBK: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VPS-J	GBK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.1	3.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	3.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:03 +2’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VPS-J 2–0–4 GBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	4-1 HT 3-1	VPS-J
14/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	3-4 HT 1-1	GBK
21/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	3-0 HT 1-0	VPS-J
27/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	3-0 HT 2-0	GBK
07/05/25 Finland Cup	VPS-J	0-1 HT 0-1	GBK
21/04/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	GBK	0-3 HT 0-1	VPS-J

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	19	12	3	4	55	26	39
2	JBK	19	11	1	7	42	24	34
3	GBK	19	10	3	6	45	35	33
4	FF Jaro II	19	8	2	9	35	56	26
5	VPS-J	19	7	4	8	47	41	25
6	Narpes Kraft	19	7	2	10	50	50	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VPS-J	GBK
Huima/Urho	0-5 L	0-3 L
JS Hercules	3-1 W	7-0 W
FC Vaajakoski	2-3 L	1-1 D
FF Jaro II	5-0 W	2-2 D
JBK	0-2 L	2-0 W
SJK Akatemia II	6-2 W	4-2 W
Narpes Kraft	2-3 L	6-2 W
TP-47	3-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GBK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VPS-J

WWLWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	5	7	L
22/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	1-4	8	3	L
15/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-1	7	6	W
08/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
03/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
25/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
19/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-2	6-2	6	7	W
12/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
05/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
27/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-0	4	2	W

GBK

WWWWDWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
22/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	4-1	4	3	W
15/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
08/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
01/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-2	4	1	W
22/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	4	4	W
10/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
04/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
27/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	5-0	7-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VPS-J vs GBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VPS-J win (45%). Probabilities: VPS-J 45%, draw 22%, GBK 33%.

How many goals are expected in VPS-J vs GBK?

The model expects 4.37 goals (VPS-J 2.35 · GBK 2.02), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VPS-J vs GBK?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.