Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 12/09, 17:30

Prediction: VPS-J vs JBK

Team pages: VPS-J · JBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

VPS-J2

JBK2

1X2

39% 23% 39%

VPS-J Draw JBK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

VPS-J 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLLWW

JBK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWDL

Head-to-head

VPS-J 3–3 JBK (6 last)

JBK2-0VPS-J
VPS-J2-1JBK
VPS-J4-1JBK
JBK2-1VPS-J
VPS-J1-0JBK
VPS-J0-5JBK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VPS-J 1520 · JBK 1536

	VPS-J	Draw	JBK
Our model	39%	22%	39%
Market	38%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VPS-J	JBK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 2.5	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.7	3.2 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.90

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.35▲	Pinn 2.38 ★
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Pinn 3.94
2	2.45 → 2.35▼	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:52 +10’	2.20	4.00	2.45
02:24 +13’	2.35▲	3.90▼	2.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:08 +30’	2.38	3.94	2.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VPS-J 3–0–3 JBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	2-0 HT 1-0	VPS-J
08/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	2-1 HT 1-1	JBK
08/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	4-1 HT 3-0	JBK
26/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	2-1 HT 2-0	VPS-J
23/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	1-0 HT 0-0	JBK
18/08/19 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	0-5 HT 0-2	JBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	21	13	4	4	61	27	43
2	GBK	21	11	3	7	52	41	36
3	JBK	21	11	2	8	43	28	35
4	VPS-J	21	9	4	8	57	46	31
5	Narpes Kraft	21	8	2	11	52	56	26
6	FF Jaro II	21	8	2	11	37	62	26

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VPS-J	JBK
FF Jaro II	4-1 W	3-1 W
GBK	6-4 W	0-3 L
Huima/Urho	0-5 L	1-1 D
JS Hercules	3-1 W	3-5 L
FC Vaajakoski	2-3 L	4-0 W
SJK Akatemia II	6-2 W	1-0 W
Narpes Kraft	2-3 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: VPS-J (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VPS-J

LWLWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	4-1	10	3	W
02/09	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	6-4	9	1	W
29/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	5	7	L
22/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	1-4	8	3	L
15/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-1	7	6	W
08/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
03/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
25/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
19/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-2	6-2	6	7	W
12/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-3	8	4	L

JBK

LLWWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	12	6	L
02/09	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	11	7	D
28/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
22/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
16/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-0	7	7	W
07/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
01/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	7	3	W
25/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
18/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	3-5	5	3	L
10/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-2	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VPS-J vs JBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VPS-J win (39%). Probabilities: VPS-J 39%, draw 23%, JBK 39%.

How many goals are expected in VPS-J vs JBK?

The model expects 3.99 goals (VPS-J 2 · JBK 2), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in VPS-J vs JBK?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.