Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Huima/Urho vs Narpes Kraft

Team pages: Huima/Urho · Narpes Kraft

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.57Total

Huima/Urho3.27

Narpes Kraft1.3

1X2

75% 14% 11%

Huima/Urho Draw Narpes Kraft

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Huima/Urho 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWWWD

Narpes Kraft 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Huima/Urho 2–0 Narpes Kraft (2 last)

Huima/Urho3-1Narpes Kraft
Narpes Kraft1-3Huima/Urho

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huima/Urho 1601 · Narpes Kraft 1450

	Huima/Urho	Draw	Narpes Kraft
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	75%	14%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 4.57 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huima/Urho (rating 1601 vs 1450).
H2H favours Huima/Urho: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huima/Urho	Narpes Kraft
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.7	1.8 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.4	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.50

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.90

2 (+2.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.90

Under 4.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	6.50 → 6.50	Pinn 7.16 ★
2	8.00 → 8.00	Pinn 8.58

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:36 +5’	1.20	6.50	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:11 +90’	1.17	7.16	8.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Huima/Urho 2–0–0 Narpes Kraft

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Huima/Urho	3-1 HT 1-0	Narpes Kraft
14/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	1-3 HT 1-1	Huima/Urho

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huima/Urho	20	12	4	4	56	27	40
2	JBK	20	11	2	7	43	25	35
3	GBK	20	10	3	7	49	41	33
4	VPS-J	20	8	4	8	53	45	28
5	Narpes Kraft	20	8	2	10	52	51	26
6	FF Jaro II	20	8	2	10	36	58	26

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huima/Urho	Narpes Kraft
JBK	1-1 D	0-5 L
VPS-J	5-0 W	3-2 W
FF Jaro II	6-2 W	2-1 W
GBK	3-0 W	2-6 L
TP-47	4-0 W	1-2 L
SJK Akatemia II	4-0 W	2-2 D
FC Vaajakoski	1-0 W	2-3 L
JS Hercules	0-0 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Huima/Urho (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huima/Urho

LDWWWWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
29/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	6	7	W
22/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
15/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	6-2	2	2	W
08/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
01/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	4-0	1	4	W
25/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
05/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	4	L

Narpes Kraft

LWLLWLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-1	5	8	W
28/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	5	4	L
22/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
16/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	7	7	D
08/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
01/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
26/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-3	9	4	L
15/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	3	4	L
12/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
07/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-4	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huima/Urho vs Narpes Kraft?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huima/Urho win (75%). Probabilities: Huima/Urho 75%, draw 14%, Narpes Kraft 11%.

How many goals are expected in Huima/Urho vs Narpes Kraft?

The model expects 4.57 goals (Huima/Urho 3.27 · Narpes Kraft 1.3), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Huima/Urho vs Narpes Kraft?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.