Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: SJK Akatemia II vs TP-47

Team pages: SJK Akatemia II · TP-47

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.13Total

SJK Akatemia II2.31

TP-471.82

1X2

49% 21% 30%

SJK Akatemia II Draw TP-47

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SJK Akatemia II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLLDDL

TP-47 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLWLW

Head-to-head

SJK Akatemia II 3–2–1 TP-47 (6 last)

SJK Akatemia II0-0TP-47
TP-472-2SJK Akatemia II
TP-472-6SJK Akatemia II
TP-474-3SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II7-1TP-47
SJK Akatemia II9-2TP-47

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SJK Akatemia II 1472 · TP-47 1429

	SJK Akatemia II	Draw	TP-47
Our model	49%	21%	30%
Market	49%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 4.13 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SJK Akatemia II (rating 1472 vs 1429).
H2H favours SJK Akatemia II: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK Akatemia II	TP-47
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.3	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X4.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 2.02 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:17 +2’	1.85	4.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:11 +128’	2.02	3.85	2.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK Akatemia II 3–2–1 TP-47

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	0-0 HT 0-0	TP-47
03/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	2-2 HT 1-0	SJK Akatemia II
07/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	2-6 HT 2-1	SJK Akatemia II
01/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	4-3 HT 2-2	SJK Akatemia II
26/04/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	7-1 HT 4-0	TP-47
22/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	9-2 HT 3-0	TP-47

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	18	6	5	7	28	35	23
2	FC Vaajakoski	18	6	3	9	34	44	21
3	JS Hercules	18	6	3	9	31	42	21
4	SJK Akatemia II	18	5	4	9	27	41	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK Akatemia II	TP-47
JBK	0-1 L	0-4 L
Narpes Kraft	2-2 D	2-1 W
JS Hercules	2-2 D	0-1 L
GBK	2-4 L	3-4 L
Huima/Urho	0-4 L	0-4 L
VPS-J	2-6 L	0-3 L
FF Jaro II	3-2 W	0-2 L
FC Vaajakoski	3-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: SJK Akatemia II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK Akatemia II

LWWDLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
16/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
09/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-4	6	1	L
25/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
19/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	2-6	1	7	L
12/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
08/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	4	6	W
30/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
12/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	5	5	L

TP-47

LLLDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	4-2	9	5	W
16/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-4	7	7	L
08/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
01/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-4	4	4	L
23/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
18/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
12/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
04/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
27/06	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
14/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK Akatemia II vs TP-47?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SJK Akatemia II win (49%). Probabilities: SJK Akatemia II 49%, draw 21%, TP-47 30%.

How many goals are expected in SJK Akatemia II vs TP-47?

The model expects 4.13 goals (SJK Akatemia II 2.31 · TP-47 1.82), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK Akatemia II vs TP-47?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.