Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: FC Vaajakoski vs JS Hercules

Team pages: FC Vaajakoski · JS Hercules

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.25Total

FC Vaajakoski2.61

JS Hercules1.64

1X2

58% 19% 23%

FC Vaajakoski Draw JS Hercules

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vaajakoski 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWLWDL

JS Hercules 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWLDLW

Head-to-head

FC Vaajakoski 1–2–3 JS Hercules (6 last)

JS Hercules2-2FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski3-5JS Hercules
JS Hercules1-5FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski0-0JS Hercules
JS Hercules1-0FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski0-1JS Hercules

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vaajakoski 1478 · JS Hercules 1501

	FC Vaajakoski	Draw	JS Hercules
Our model	58%	19%	23%
Market	58%	19%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 4.25 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JS Hercules: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vaajakoski	JS Hercules
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.3	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.3	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.5	1.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.75

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.45 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +27’	1.53	4.75	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +221’	1.52	4.47	4.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vaajakoski 1–2–3 JS Hercules

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Vaajakoski
25/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	3-5 HT 2-2	JS Hercules
19/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	1-5 HT 1-3	FC Vaajakoski
26/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	0-0 HT 0-0	JS Hercules
27/08/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Vaajakoski
11/06/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	0-1 HT 0-0	JS Hercules

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	18	6	5	7	28	35	23
2	FC Vaajakoski	18	6	3	9	34	44	21
3	JS Hercules	18	6	3	9	31	42	21
4	SJK Akatemia II	18	5	4	9	27	41	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vaajakoski	JS Hercules
TP-47	2-4 L	1-0 W
GBK	1-1 D	0-7 L
VPS-J	3-2 W	1-3 L
JBK	0-4 L	5-3 W
Narpes Kraft	3-2 W	2-3 L
Huima/Urho	0-1 L	0-0 D
FF Jaro II	5-2 W	3-1 W
SJK Akatemia II	0-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vaajakoski

WLDWLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-4	7	5	L
15/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
08/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
01/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
26/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	3-2	6	4	W
17/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
12/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-2	6	4	W
04/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
30/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
14/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	13	7	W

JS Hercules

LLDDWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
15/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	1-3	9	6	L
09/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
23/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
18/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-3	4	3	W
11/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
04/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	1	2	D
27/06	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-5	0-7	4	2	L
14/06	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vaajakoski vs JS Hercules?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vaajakoski win (58%). Probabilities: FC Vaajakoski 58%, draw 19%, JS Hercules 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vaajakoski vs JS Hercules?

The model expects 4.25 goals (FC Vaajakoski 2.61 · JS Hercules 1.64), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vaajakoski vs JS Hercules?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.