Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 08/11, 06:30
Prediction: Citizen AA vs Resources Capital FC
Team pages: Citizen AA · Resources Capital FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.57Total
Citizen AA1.29
Resources Capital FC3.29
1X2
Citizen AA
Draw
Resources Capital FC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Citizen AA
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Resources Capital FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Citizen AA
2–1–3
Resources Capital FC
(6 last)
- Citizen AA1-1Resources Capital FC
- Resources Capital FC6-2Citizen AA
- Citizen AA1-2Resources Capital FC
- Resources Capital FC0-3Citizen AA
- Citizen AA3-4Resources Capital FC
- Resources Capital FC1-2Citizen AA
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Citizen AA 1500 · Resources Capital FC 1581
| Citizen AA | Draw | Resources Capital FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 6% | 9% | 85% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.57 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Resources Capital FC (rating 1500 vs 1581).
- H2H favours Resources Capital FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Citizen AA | Resources Capital FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.1 | 4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 78/22/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 3.8 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Citizen AA 2–1–3 Resources Capital FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Hong Kong 1st Division | Citizen AA | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Resources Capital FC |
| 02/11/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Resources Capital FC | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Citizen AA |
| 26/01/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Citizen AA | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Resources Capital FC |
| 22/09/24 Hong Kong 1st Division | Resources Capital FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Citizen AA |
| 12/01/20 Hong Kong 1st Division | Citizen AA | 3-4 HT 0-3 | Resources Capital FC |
| 10/03/19 Hong Kong 1st Division | Resources Capital FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Citizen AA |
Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yuen Long | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Resources Capital FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | WSE | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | South China AA | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Citizen AA | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Tung Sing | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoi King | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 8 | Central & Western | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | Sky Leader FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 7 |
| 10 | Sham Shui Po | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 11 | Bright Cerulean FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 6 |
| 12 | Lucky Mile | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 4 |
| 13 | Kui Tan SC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 14 | Leaper FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Citizen AA | Resources Capital FC |
|---|---|---|
| WSE | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Hoi King | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Sham Shui Po | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| South China AA | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sky Leader FC | 3-4 L | 9-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Resources Capital FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Citizen AA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 04/10 | Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
Resources Capital FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-0 | 9-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-0 | 10-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 13/09 | Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 5-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Citizen AA vs Resources Capital FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Resources Capital FC win (80%). Probabilities: Citizen AA 8%, draw 11%, Resources Capital FC 80%.
How many goals are expected in Citizen AA vs Resources Capital FC?
The model expects 4.57 goals (Citizen AA 1.29 · Resources Capital FC 3.29), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Citizen AA vs Resources Capital FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.