Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 04/09, 18:00

Prediction: PPJ vs Kiffen

Team pages: PPJ · Kiffen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

PPJ1.63

Kiffen1.89

1X2

33% 23% 44%

PPJ Draw Kiffen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLDWLD

Kiffen 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDWWWW

Head-to-head

PPJ 3–3 Kiffen (6 last)

PPJ1-2Kiffen
Kiffen0-4PPJ
PPJ4-1Kiffen
Kiffen2-0PPJ
PPJ2-3Kiffen
PPJ2-1Kiffen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ 1481 · Kiffen 1579

	PPJ	Draw	Kiffen
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	33%	23%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1481 vs 1579).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ	Kiffen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	2.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X4.00

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:01 +21’	2.70	4.00	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ 3–0–3 Kiffen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PPJ	1-2 HT 0-1	Kiffen
25/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Kiffen	0-4 HT 0-3	PPJ
16/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	PPJ	4-1 HT 1-1	Kiffen
13/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Kiffen	2-0 HT 1-0	PPJ
07/03/25 Europe Friendlies	PPJ	2-3 HT 2-1	Kiffen
02/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PPJ	2-1 HT 0-1	Kiffen

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	19	13	3	3	43	25	42
2	PEPO	19	11	5	3	37	24	38
3	Atlantis	19	10	2	7	63	46	32
4	HIFK 2	19	8	6	5	41	34	30
5	HPS	19	7	4	8	40	43	25
6	PPJ	19	5	9	5	34	32	24

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ	Kiffen
PEPO	1-1 D	2-0 W
Atlantis	3-6 L	5-3 W
MyPa	2-1 W	0-0 D
HPS	2-2 D	2-1 W
Reipas	1-2 L	3-2 W
Union Plaani	0-1 L	1-0 W
HIFK 2	2-1 W	1-1 D
Puiu	1-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kiffen (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ

DLLWLLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
22/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	3-6	2	4	L
13/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-1	3	8	W
07/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
02/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
24/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
11/07	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
02/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
27/06	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	2	5	D

Kiffen

WWWWDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
22/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	5-1	9	3	W
15/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-1	5	5	W
07/08	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
01/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
25/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
18/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
10/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-3	2	4	W
02/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
27/06	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	3-2	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ vs Kiffen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kiffen win (44%). Probabilities: PPJ 33%, draw 23%, Kiffen 44%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ vs Kiffen?

The model expects 3.52 goals (PPJ 1.63 · Kiffen 1.89), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ vs Kiffen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.