Football · Australia A-League Women · 25/10, 01:15
Prediction: Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W)
Team pages: Wellington Phoenix (W) · Melbourne Victory (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Wellington Phoenix (W)1.28
Melbourne Victory (W)1.01
1X2
Wellington Phoenix (W)
Draw
Melbourne Victory (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Wellington Phoenix (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Melbourne Victory (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wellington Phoenix (W)
1–4–1
Melbourne Victory (W)
(6 last)
- Melbourne Victory (W)1-1Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)1-0Melbourne Victory (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)1-1Melbourne Victory (W)
- Melbourne Victory (W)1-1Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Melbourne Victory (W)5-3Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)2-2Melbourne Victory (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wellington Phoenix (W) | Melbourne Victory (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wellington Phoenix (W) 1–4–1 Melbourne Victory (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne Victory (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 23/11/25 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Melbourne Victory (W) |
| 08/02/25 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Melbourne Victory (W) |
| 13/12/24 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne Victory (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 03/03/24 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne Victory (W) | 5-3 HT 4-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 10/12/23 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Melbourne Victory (W) |
Standings · Australia A-League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Melbourne City (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Perth Glory (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Adelaide United (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Sydney FC (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Canberra Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Newcastle Jets (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wellington Phoenix (W) | Melbourne Victory (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Sydney FC (W) | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wellington Phoenix (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/03 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/03 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/02 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
Melbourne Victory (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Canberra Utd (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/02 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 15/02 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/02 | Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wellington Phoenix (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Wellington Phoenix (W) 41%, draw 31%, Melbourne Victory (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W)?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Wellington Phoenix (W) 1.28 · Melbourne Victory (W) 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.