Football · Australia A-League Women · 31/10, 07:00

Prediction: Central Coast Mariners FC (W) vs Adelaide United (W)

Team pages: Central Coast Mariners FC (W) · Adelaide United (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)1.64
Adelaide United (W)1.1
1X2
50% 25% 25%
Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Draw Adelaide United (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDWLDWDDWW
Adelaide United (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWWDLLLLDD
Head-to-head
Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 3–3 Adelaide United (W) (6 last)
  • Adelaide United (W)1-0Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
  • Central Coast Mariners FC (W)3-0Adelaide United (W)
  • Adelaide United (W)1-0Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
  • Central Coast Mariners FC (W)0-1Adelaide United (W)
  • Central Coast Mariners FC (W)2-0Adelaide United (W)
  • Adelaide United (W)1-2Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 1522 · Adelaide United (W) 1487
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)DrawAdelaide United (W)
Our model49%27%24%
Market50%24%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Central Coast Mariners FC (W)Adelaide United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.21 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/70/0%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.31.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 00.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 3–0–3 Adelaide United (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/01/26
Australia A-League Women
Adelaide United (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
02/11/25
Australia A-League Women
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)3-0
HT 2-0
Adelaide United (W)
08/03/25
Australia A-League Women
Adelaide United (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
04/01/25
Australia A-League Women
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Adelaide United (W)
03/03/24
Australia A-League Women
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)2-0
HT 0-0
Adelaide United (W)
20/10/23
Australia A-League Women
Adelaide United (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)

Standings · Australia A-League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 2200 936
2 Melbourne City (W) 2200 716
3 Melbourne Victory (W) 2110 214
4 Perth Glory (W) 2110 104
5 Western Sydney Wanderers (W) 2101 323
6 Adelaide United (W) 2020 222
7 Wellington Phoenix (W) 2011 231
8 Sydney FC (W) 2011 271
9 Newcastle Jets (W) 1001 010
10 Brisbane Roar (W) 2002 370
11 Canberra United (W) 1001 150

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCentral Coast Mariners FC (W)Adelaide United (W)
Canberra Utd (W) 5-1 W 2-3 L
Brisbane Roar (W) 4-2 W 0-3 L
Sydney FC (W) 0-0 D 2-2 D
Wellington Phoenix (W) 2-1 W 0-2 L
Perth Glory (W) 0-0 D 0-0 D
Melbourne City (W) 1-3 L 0-0 D
Western Sydney Wanderers (W) 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Central Coast Mariners FC (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Coast Mariners FC (W)

LDWLDWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Canberra Utd (W)
Australia A-League Women
2-0 5-1 70 W
17/10 Brisbane Roar (W)
Australia A-League Women
2-1 4-2 63 W
04/04 Sydney FC (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 0-0 53 D
29/03 Canberra Utd (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 0-0 34 D
25/03 Wellington Phoenix (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 2-1 01 W
21/03 Perth Glory (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 0-0 23 D
20/02 Melbourne City (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 1-3 15 L
15/02 Wellington Phoenix (W)
Australia A-League Women
2-1 2-1 42 W
30/01 Brisbane Roar (W)
Australia A-League Women
1-1 2-2 24 D
24/01 Western Sydney Wanderers (W)
Australia A-League Women
1-1 1-2 32 L

Adelaide United (W)

WWWDLLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Perth Glory (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 0-0 03 D
18/10 Sydney FC (W)
Australia A-League Women
1-1 2-2 61 D
25/04 Brisbane Roar (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 0-3 41 L
03/04 Wellington Phoenix (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-2 0-2 71 L
28/03 Newcastle Jets (W)
Australia A-League Women
1-1 1-3 40 L
22/03 Canberra Utd (W)
Australia A-League Women
1-1 2-3 11 L
18/03 Melbourne City (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 0-0 31 D
13/03 Perth Glory (W)
Australia A-League Women
1-1 2-1 71 W
22/02 Brisbane Roar (W)
Australia A-League Women
1-0 2-0 61 W
08/02 Western Sydney Wanderers (W)
Australia A-League Women
0-0 1-0 30 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Coast Mariners FC (W) vs Adelaide United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Coast Mariners FC (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 50%, draw 25%, Adelaide United (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Central Coast Mariners FC (W) vs Adelaide United (W)?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 1.64 · Adelaide United (W) 1.1), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Coast Mariners FC (W) vs Adelaide United (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.