Football · Australia A-League Women · 31/10, 05:00

Prediction: Brisbane Roar (W) vs Sydney FC (W)

Team pages: Brisbane Roar (W) · Sydney FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Brisbane Roar (W)2.12

Sydney FC (W)1.56

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Brisbane Roar (W) Draw Sydney FC (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Brisbane Roar (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Sydney FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brisbane Roar (W) 3–1–2 Sydney FC (W) (6 last)

Brisbane Roar (W)0-4Sydney FC (W)
Sydney FC (W)1-3Brisbane Roar (W)
Sydney FC (W)3-2Brisbane Roar (W)
Brisbane Roar (W)1-0Sydney FC (W)
Sydney FC (W)1-1Brisbane Roar (W)
Brisbane Roar (W)1-0Sydney FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brisbane Roar (W) 1488 · Sydney FC (W) 1445

	Brisbane Roar (W)	Draw	Sydney FC (W)
Our model	50%	23%	28%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brisbane Roar (W) (rating 1488 vs 1445).
H2H favours Brisbane Roar (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brisbane Roar (W)	Sydney FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.5	1.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	1.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.89
X	3.80 → 3.70▼	Pinn 4.03 ★
2	4.00 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.41

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:15 +51’	1.67	3.80	4.00
05:53 +15’	1.85▲	3.70▼	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:12 +6’	1.88	3.79	3.53
09:15 +8’	1.89▲	3.84▲	3.57▲
11:07 +18’	1.89	4.03▲	3.41▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Roar (W) 3–1–2 Sydney FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Australia A-League Women	Brisbane Roar (W)	0-4 HT 0-0	Sydney FC (W)
04/02/26 Australia A-League Women	Sydney FC (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	Brisbane Roar (W)
02/03/25 Australia A-League Women	Sydney FC (W)	3-2 HT 1-0	Brisbane Roar (W)
09/11/24 Australia A-League Women	Brisbane Roar (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Sydney FC (W)
22/12/23 Australia A-League Women	Sydney FC (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Brisbane Roar (W)
21/10/23 Australia A-League Women	Brisbane Roar (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Sydney FC (W)

Standings · Australia A-League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Central Coast Mariners FC (W)	2	2	0	0	9	3	6
2	Melbourne City (W)	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	Melbourne Victory (W)	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	Perth Glory (W)	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
5	Western Sydney Wanderers (W)	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
6	Adelaide United (W)	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
7	Wellington Phoenix (W)	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
8	Sydney FC (W)	2	0	1	1	2	7	1
9	Newcastle Jets (W)	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
10	Brisbane Roar (W)	2	0	0	2	3	7	0
11	Canberra United (W)	1	0	0	1	1	5	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brisbane Roar (W)	Sydney FC (W)
Western Sydney Wanderers (W)	1-3 L	2-3 L
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)	2-4 L	0-0 D
Wellington Phoenix (W)	0-1 L	1-3 L
Adelaide United (W)	3-0 W	2-2 D
Canberra Utd (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Newcastle Jets (W)	4-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Brisbane Roar (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brisbane Roar (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
17/10	Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
10/05	Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
03/05	Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women	1-1	2-1	6	0	W
25/04	Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women	0-0	3-0	10	1	W
04/04	Canberra Utd (W) Australia A-League Women	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
27/03	Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women	2-1	5-2	3	2	W
20/03	Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women	0-0	4-2	12	5	W
14/03	Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women	0-2	0-3	5	1	L
22/02	Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L

Sydney FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women	0-4	0-5	0	1	L
18/10	Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women	1-1	2-2	6	1	D
04/04	Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
28/03	Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
20/03	Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women	1-1	1-3	3	0	L
13/03	Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
13/02	Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women	0-0	4-0	6	3	W
08/02	Canberra Utd (W) Australia A-League Women	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
04/02	Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women	1-2	1-3	6	0	L
31/01	Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women	1-1	2-3	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brisbane Roar (W) vs Sydney FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane Roar (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Brisbane Roar (W) 49%, draw 24%, Sydney FC (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in Brisbane Roar (W) vs Sydney FC (W)?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Brisbane Roar (W) 2.12 · Sydney FC (W) 1.56), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar (W) vs Sydney FC (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.