Football · Australia A-League Women · 01/11, 11:45
Prediction: Perth Glory (W) vs Wellington Phoenix (W)
Team pages: Perth Glory (W) · Wellington Phoenix (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Perth Glory (W)0.86
Wellington Phoenix (W)1.48
1X2
Perth Glory (W)
Draw
Wellington Phoenix (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Perth Glory (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Wellington Phoenix (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Perth Glory (W)
2–4
Wellington Phoenix (W)
(6 last)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)1-0Perth Glory (W)
- Perth Glory (W)1-0Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Perth Glory (W)2-1Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)2-0Perth Glory (W)
- Perth Glory (W)1-3Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)2-1Perth Glory (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perth Glory (W) 1495 · Wellington Phoenix (W) 1498
| Perth Glory (W) | Draw | Wellington Phoenix (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 29% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 25% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wellington Phoenix (W): 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Perth Glory (W) | Wellington Phoenix (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Glory (W) 2–0–4 Wellington Phoenix (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Perth Glory (W) |
| 12/12/25 Australia A-League Women | Perth Glory (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 16/02/25 Australia A-League Women | Perth Glory (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 04/01/25 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Perth Glory (W) |
| 08/03/24 Australia A-League Women | Perth Glory (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 25/11/23 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Perth Glory (W) |
Standings · Australia A-League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Melbourne City (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Perth Glory (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Adelaide United (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Sydney FC (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle Jets (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 | Canberra United (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Perth Glory (W) | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Melbourne Victory (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Brisbane Roar (W) | 2-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Sydney FC (W) | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Wellington Phoenix (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perth Glory (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/03 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/02 | Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 14/02 | Canberra Utd (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/02 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 28/01 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
Wellington Phoenix (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/10 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/03 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/03 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perth Glory (W) vs Wellington Phoenix (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wellington Phoenix (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Perth Glory (W) 22%, draw 27%, Wellington Phoenix (W) 51%.
How many goals are expected in Perth Glory (W) vs Wellington Phoenix (W)?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Perth Glory (W) 0.86 · Wellington Phoenix (W) 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Perth Glory (W) vs Wellington Phoenix (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.