Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 17/10, 12:00
Prediction: Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Kyzylzhar
Team pages: Okzhetpes Kokshetau · FK Kyzylzhar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.53
FK Kyzylzhar1.25
1X2
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Draw
FK Kyzylzhar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
FK Kyzylzhar
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
4–2
FK Kyzylzhar
(6 last)
- FK Kyzylzhar0-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- FK Kyzylzhar3-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau3-2FK Kyzylzhar
- FK Kyzylzhar1-2Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau0-1FK Kyzylzhar
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau2-1FK Kyzylzhar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1540 · FK Kyzylzhar 1476
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Draw | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Okzhetpes Kokshetau (rating 1540 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Okzhetpes Kokshetau: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 4–0–2 FK Kyzylzhar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 13/09/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 31/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 3-2 HT 1-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 01/10/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 15/03/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 17/10/20 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Kyzylzhar |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 51 |
| 4 | FK Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 41 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 37 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 35 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 32 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 37 | 32 |
| 11 | FK Kyzylzhar | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 40 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 31 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 37 | 26 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 38 | 25 |
| 15 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 24 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 45 | 22 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | FK Kyzylzhar |
|---|---|---|
| FK Zhenys | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Ordabasy | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Atyrau | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Astana | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Altai Semey | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| FK Aktobe | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Zhetysu | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Okzhetpes Kokshetau (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
FK Kyzylzhar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 18/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Kyzylzhar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (43%). Probabilities: Okzhetpes Kokshetau 43%, draw 28%, FK Kyzylzhar 30%.
How many goals are expected in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Kyzylzhar?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.53 · FK Kyzylzhar 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Kyzylzhar?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.