Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: FK Kyzylzhar vs FK Ulytau

Team pages: FK Kyzylzhar · FK Ulytau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

FK Kyzylzhar1.67

FK Ulytau0.74

1X2

59% 25% 16%

FK Kyzylzhar Draw FK Ulytau

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kyzylzhar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLLDWL

FK Ulytau 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLDWL

Head-to-head

FK Kyzylzhar 1–1–1 FK Ulytau (3 last)

FK Ulytau1-0FK Kyzylzhar
FK Ulytau1-1FK Kyzylzhar
FK Kyzylzhar2-1FK Ulytau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kyzylzhar 1472 · FK Ulytau 1462

	FK Kyzylzhar	Draw	FK Ulytau
Our model	59%	26%	15%
Market	60%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kyzylzhar	FK Ulytau
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.70

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.50▼	Pinn 1.55 ★
X	3.30 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
2	3.80 → 5.50▲	Pinn 5.53

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:10 +7’	1.83	3.30	3.80
13:54 +29’	1.65▼	3.50▲	4.50▲
15:46 +8’	1.50▼	3.70▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +9’	1.50	3.69	5.90
15:08 +46’	1.55▲	3.55▼	5.53▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kyzylzhar 1–1–1 FK Ulytau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Ulytau	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Kyzylzhar
09/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Ulytau	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Kyzylzhar
10/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Kyzylzhar	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Ulytau

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	28	21	4	3	58	20	67
2	Kairat Almaty	28	19	6	3	57	20	63
3	FC Astana	28	15	7	6	46	29	52
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	28	14	6	8	42	37	48
5	FK Aktobe	28	13	6	9	42	35	45
6	FC Elimai Semey	28	12	8	8	40	38	44
7	Tobol Kostanay	28	12	4	12	39	38	40
8	FK Ulytau	28	9	8	11	27	34	35
9	FK Kaspyi Aktau	28	9	6	13	31	39	33
10	FK Zhenys	28	8	8	12	29	38	32
11	FK Atyrau	28	5	12	11	22	32	27
12	FK Kyzylzhar	28	7	6	15	28	41	27
13	Irtysh Pavlodar	28	6	8	14	26	42	26
14	FC Altai Semey	28	6	8	14	28	39	26
15	Zhetysu	28	6	7	15	28	46	25
16	Kaisar Kyzylorda	28	4	12	12	24	39	24

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kyzylzhar	FK Ulytau
Okzhetpes Kokshetau	0-1 L	2-0 W
Irtysh Pavlodar	2-0 W	1-2 L
FC Astana	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Altai Semey	0-3 L	0-3 L
FK Aktobe	3-1 W	2-2 D
Zhetysu	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kyzylzhar (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kyzylzhar

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
10/10	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
18/09	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
12/09	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
05/09	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
29/08	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
16/08	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
08/08	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	0-3	6	2	L
01/08	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
25/07	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	2-1	4	11	W

FK Ulytau

LLDLWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
11/10	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
18/09	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	2-1	2-2	6	5	D
13/09	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-3	9	5	L
06/09	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
29/08	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	7	W
15/08	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
08/08	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
02/08	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
25/07	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kyzylzhar vs FK Ulytau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kyzylzhar win (59%). Probabilities: FK Kyzylzhar 59%, draw 25%, FK Ulytau 16%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kyzylzhar vs FK Ulytau?

The model expects 2.42 goals (FK Kyzylzhar 1.67 · FK Ulytau 0.74), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kyzylzhar vs FK Ulytau?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.