Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 18/10, 13:00
Prediction: FC Elimai Semey vs FK Ulytau
Team pages: FC Elimai Semey · FK Ulytau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
FC Elimai Semey1.67
FK Ulytau0.92
1X2
FC Elimai Semey
Draw
FK Ulytau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Elimai Semey
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FK Ulytau
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Elimai Semey
2–1–1
FK Ulytau
(4 last)
- FK Ulytau1-0FC Elimai Semey
- FK Ulytau1-1FC Elimai Semey
- FK Ulytau0-3FC Elimai Semey
- FC Elimai Semey3-0FK Ulytau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Elimai Semey 1504 · FK Ulytau 1471
| FC Elimai Semey | Draw | FK Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Elimai Semey: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Elimai Semey | FK Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Elimai Semey 2–1–1 FK Ulytau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Ulytau | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 12/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Ulytau | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 12/04/25 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Ulytau | 0-3 HT 0-2 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 06/04/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Ulytau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 67 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 51 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 48 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 41 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 40 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 35 |
| 9 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 37 | 32 |
| 10 | FK Zhenys | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 38 | 32 |
| 11 | FK Kyzylzhar | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 41 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 31 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 37 | 26 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 38 | 25 |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 46 | 25 |
| 16 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 39 | 24 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Elimai Semey | FK Ulytau |
|---|---|---|
| FK Aktobe | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Tobol Kostanay | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Zhetysu | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Astana | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Kairat Almaty | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Zhenys | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Ulytau (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Elimai Semey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 16/08 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
FK Ulytau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/09 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Elimai Semey vs FK Ulytau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Elimai Semey win (55%). Probabilities: FC Elimai Semey 55%, draw 25%, FK Ulytau 20%.
How many goals are expected in FC Elimai Semey vs FK Ulytau?
The model expects 2.59 goals (FC Elimai Semey 1.67 · FK Ulytau 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Elimai Semey vs FK Ulytau?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.