Prediction: Botafogo vs Palmeiras
Team pages: Botafogo · Palmeiras
- Palmeiras2-1Botafogo
- Botafogo0-1Palmeiras
- Palmeiras0-0Botafogo
- Palmeiras0-0Botafogo
- Palmeiras1-3Botafogo
- Palmeiras2-2Botafogo
| Botafogo | Draw | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palmeiras (rating 1479 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Palmeiras: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Botafogo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo 1–3–2 Palmeiras
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Botafogo |
| 18/08/25 Brazil Serie A | Botafogo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Palmeiras |
| 28/06/25 FIFA Club World Cup | Palmeiras | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Botafogo |
| 30/03/25 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Botafogo |
| 27/11/24 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Botafogo |
| 22/08/24 Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Botafogo |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 51 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 42 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 39 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 36 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 35 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 34 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 28 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 37 | 29 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 36 | 26 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 39 | 25 |
| 17 | Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 25 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 36 | 24 |
| 19 | Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 46 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Botafogo | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Fluminense | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Cruzeiro | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Mineiro | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Botafogo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botafogo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 24/07 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Palmeiras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/07 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/07 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 17/05 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Palmeiras win (43%). Probabilities: Botafogo 29%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 43%.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Botafogo 1.24 · Palmeiras 1.53), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.