Football · Brazil Serie B · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: Avai vs Atletico GO

Team pages: Avai · Atletico GO

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Avai1.04

Atletico GO1.04

1X2

34% 32% 34%

Avai Draw Atletico GO

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Avai 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLWWW

Atletico GO 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWDLD

Head-to-head

Avai 0–2–4 Atletico GO (6 last)

Atletico GO2-1Avai
Atletico GO2-1Avai
Avai0-0Atletico GO
Avai0-2Atletico GO
Atletico GO0-0Avai
Avai1-2Atletico GO

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Avai 1496 · Atletico GO 1531

	Avai	Draw	Atletico GO
Our model	34%	33%	34%
Market	34%	31%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atletico GO: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Avai	Atletico GO
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:09 +6’	2.70	3.00	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Avai 0–2–4 Atletico GO

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	2-1 HT 1-0	Avai
17/09/25 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	2-1 HT 1-1	Avai
10/05/25 Brazil Serie B	Avai	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico GO
02/09/23 Brazil Serie B	Avai	0-2 HT 0-1	Atletico GO
20/05/23 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	0-0 HT 0-0	Avai
02/10/22 Brazil Serie A	Avai	1-2 HT 0-1	Atletico GO

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	24	12	8	4	25	17	44
2	EC Juventude	23	12	6	5	24	12	42
3	Vila Nova	24	12	5	7	35	25	41
4	Gremio Novorizontino	24	11	7	6	39	21	40
5	Fortaleza	24	11	7	6	27	21	40
6	Sport Recife	24	9	11	4	32	22	38
7	CRB	23	10	6	7	34	32	36
8	Operario PR	24	10	6	8	30	31	36
9	Athletic Club MG	24	8	10	6	25	25	34
10	Goias	24	9	6	9	23	29	33
11	Atletico GO	23	8	9	6	24	23	33
12	Cuiaba	24	7	12	5	21	18	33
13	Sao Bernardo SP	24	8	8	8	33	27	32
14	Botafogo SP	23	8	7	8	28	23	31
15	Nautico	24	8	7	9	28	27	31
16	Avai	24	8	5	11	27	30	29
17	Ceara	24	7	7	10	25	30	28
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	24	2	5	17	16	42	11
20	Ponte Preta	24	2	4	18	16	50	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Avai	Atletico GO
Ponte Preta	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sport Recife	2-1 W	1-1 D
Operario PR	2-1 W	3-1 W
Nautico	2-0 W	1-1 D
Athletic Club MG	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avai

LLWDWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
20/08	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
16/08	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	0	4	W
12/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	14	4	L
29/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
22/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
18/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
12/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
07/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	2	2	L
28/06	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

Atletico GO

DWLWDWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	15	6	L
09/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
28/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
24/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
18/07	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
12/07	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
04/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	6	3	L
28/06	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
19/06	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avai vs Atletico GO?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Avai win (34%). Probabilities: Avai 34%, draw 32%, Atletico GO 34%.

How many goals are expected in Avai vs Atletico GO?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Avai 1.04 · Atletico GO 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Avai vs Atletico GO?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.