Football · Brazil Serie B · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Londrina vs Operario PR

Team pages: Londrina · Operario PR

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

Londrina1.14

Operario PR0.98

1X2

39% 31% 30%

Londrina Draw Operario PR

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Londrina 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLLLDL

Operario PR 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLLLLD

Head-to-head

Londrina 1–2–3 Operario PR (6 last)

Operario PR3-0Londrina
Londrina0-1Operario PR
Londrina0-0Operario PR
Operario PR0-0Londrina
Londrina2-0Operario PR
Londrina1-2Operario PR

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Londrina 1430 · Operario PR 1492

	Londrina	Draw	Operario PR
Our model	38%	32%	30%
Market	39%	30%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Operario PR (rating 1430 vs 1492).
H2H favours Operario PR: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Londrina	Operario PR
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	3.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +3’	2.38	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Londrina 1–2–3 Operario PR

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	3-0 HT 2-0	Londrina
18/03/26 Copa do Brasil	Londrina	0-1 HT 0-1	Operario PR
07/03/26 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense	Londrina	0-0 HT 0-0	Operario PR
28/02/26 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense	Operario PR	0-0 HT 0-0	Londrina
07/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense	Londrina	2-0 HT 2-0	Operario PR
19/03/25 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense	Londrina	1-2 HT 0-1	Operario PR

Standings · Brazil Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	24	13	6	5	26	13	45
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	44
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	44
4	Gremio Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	43
5	Fortaleza	24	11	7	6	27	21	40
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	39
7	Atletico GO	25	10	9	6	28	23	39
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	38
9	Operario PR	24	10	6	8	30	31	36
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	36
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	36
12	Nautico	25	9	7	9	30	28	34
13	Athletic Club MG	25	8	10	7	26	27	34
14	Sao Bernardo SP	25	8	8	9	34	29	32
15	Botafogo SP	25	8	7	10	29	28	31
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	29
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	28
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	25	3	5	17	18	42	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Londrina	Operario PR
Atletico GO	0-0 D	1-3 L
Sport Recife	1-2 L	2-2 D
Gremio Novorizontino	1-4 L	2-1 W
America MG	1-1 D	1-0 W
Cuiaba	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Operario PR (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Londrina

DWDDLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
19/08	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
15/08	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
11/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
26/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-3	1-4	5	3	L
23/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
18/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
14/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
04/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	5-0	2	6	W
26/06	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-2	0	9	D

Operario PR

WWWDWLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
20/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
16/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
08/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
28/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-2	1-3	2	3	L
23/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-2	6	6	W
18/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	1	8	D
12/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
08/07	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Londrina vs Operario PR?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Londrina win (39%). Probabilities: Londrina 39%, draw 31%, Operario PR 30%.

How many goals are expected in Londrina vs Operario PR?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Londrina 1.14 · Operario PR 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Londrina vs Operario PR?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.