Football · Brazil Serie B · 05/09, 23:00

Prediction: EC Juventude vs Atletico GO

Team pages: EC Juventude · Atletico GO

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.64Total

EC Juventude1.05

Atletico GO0.59

1X2

47% 32% 21%

EC Juventude Draw Atletico GO

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 50% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

EC Juventude 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWDWW

Atletico GO 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDLDWW

Head-to-head

EC Juventude 2–2–2 Atletico GO (6 last)

Atletico GO0-0EC Juventude
Atletico GO2-1EC Juventude
EC Juventude1-0Atletico GO
Atletico GO3-0EC Juventude
EC Juventude3-0Atletico GO
EC Juventude1-1Atletico GO

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Juventude 1567 · Atletico GO 1538

	EC Juventude	Draw	Atletico GO
Our model	45%	36%	19%
Market	48%	30%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.64 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EC Juventude	Atletico GO
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.5	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	2.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.10

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:24 +9’	1.90	3.10	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Juventude 2–2–2 Atletico GO

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	0-0 HT 0-0	EC Juventude
24/08/24 Brazil Serie A	Atletico GO	2-1 HT 0-0	EC Juventude
06/06/24 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	1-0 HT 1-0	Atletico GO
10/09/23 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	3-0 HT 1-0	EC Juventude
25/05/23 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	3-0 HT 2-0	Atletico GO
16/10/22 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	1-1 HT 0-0	Atletico GO

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	24	13	6	5	26	13	45
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	44
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	44
4	Gremio Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	43
5	Fortaleza	24	11	7	6	27	21	40
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	39
7	Atletico GO	25	10	9	6	28	23	39
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	38
9	Operario PR	24	10	6	8	30	31	36
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	36
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	36
12	Nautico	25	9	7	9	30	28	34
13	Athletic Club MG	25	8	10	7	26	27	34
14	Sao Bernardo SP	25	8	8	9	34	29	32
15	Botafogo SP	25	8	7	10	29	28	31
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	29
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	28
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	25	3	5	17	18	42	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EC Juventude	Atletico GO
Fortaleza	0-0 D	1-0 W
Gremio Novorizontino	1-0 W	0-3 L
Avai	1-0 W	1-0 W
Botafogo SP	2-4 L	3-0 W
Cuiaba	2-0 W	1-0 W
Vila Nova	1-0 W	0-2 L
Nautico	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: EC Juventude (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Juventude

WDWWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
19/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
15/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-4	9	4	L
18/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
11/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
28/06	Ceara Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	6	1	W

Atletico GO

LWDWWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
26/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
19/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	15	6	L
09/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
28/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
24/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
18/07	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
12/07	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
04/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Juventude vs Atletico GO?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EC Juventude win (47%). Probabilities: EC Juventude 47%, draw 32%, Atletico GO 21%.

How many goals are expected in EC Juventude vs Atletico GO?

The model expects 1.64 goals (EC Juventude 1.05 · Atletico GO 0.59), with a 60% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Juventude vs Atletico GO?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.