Football · Brazil Serie B · 05/09, 23:30
Prediction: Ceara vs Sport Recife
Team pages: Ceara · Sport Recife
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Ceara1.21
Sport Recife1.16
1X2
Ceara
Draw
Sport Recife
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ceara
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Sport Recife
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ceara
1–3–2
Sport Recife
(6 last)
- Sport Recife2-0Ceara
- Sport Recife1-1Ceara
- Sport Recife0-0Ceara
- Ceara2-0Sport Recife
- Sport Recife2-1Ceara
- Ceara0-0Sport Recife
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Recife (rating 1454 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Sport Recife: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ceara | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 6.3 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ceara 1–3–2 Sport Recife
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Brazil Serie B | Sport Recife | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ceara |
| 16/10/25 Brazil Serie A | Sport Recife | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ceara |
| 10/07/25 Brazil Copa Nordeste | Sport Recife | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ceara |
| 17/05/25 Brazil Serie A | Ceara | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sport Recife |
| 08/10/24 Brazil Serie B | Sport Recife | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Ceara |
| 21/06/24 Brazil Serie B | Ceara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Recife |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 44 |
| 4 | Gremio Novorizontino | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 22 | 43 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | CRB | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 35 | 39 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 39 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 38 |
| 9 | Operario PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 36 |
| 10 | Goias | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 36 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 36 |
| 12 | Nautico | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 34 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 34 |
| 14 | Sao Bernardo SP | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 32 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 28 | 31 |
| 16 | Avai | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 29 |
| 17 | Ceara | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 28 |
| 18 | Londrina | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 21 |
| 19 | America MG | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 42 | 14 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 52 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ceara | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Londrina | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Cuiaba | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| America MG | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Goias | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sport Recife (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ceara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/07 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
Sport Recife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/08 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ceara vs Sport Recife?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ceara win (36%). Probabilities: Ceara 36%, draw 30%, Sport Recife 33%.
How many goals are expected in Ceara vs Sport Recife?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Ceara 1.21 · Sport Recife 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ceara vs Sport Recife?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.