Football · Brazil Serie B · 09/09, 02:30

Prediction: Criciuma vs EC Juventude

Team pages: Criciuma · EC Juventude

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.75Total

Criciuma1.08

EC Juventude0.67

1X2

45% 32% 23%

Criciuma Draw EC Juventude

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Criciuma 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWDLLW

EC Juventude 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWDD

Head-to-head

Criciuma 2–2–2 EC Juventude (6 last)

EC Juventude0-0Criciuma
EC Juventude1-2Criciuma
Criciuma1-1EC Juventude
EC Juventude1-0Criciuma
Criciuma0-1EC Juventude
EC Juventude0-1Criciuma

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Criciuma 1520 · EC Juventude 1544

	Criciuma	Draw	EC Juventude
Our model	44%	35%	21%
Market	46%	30%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 1.75 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Criciuma	EC Juventude
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.8	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.10

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.18
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.64 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:42 +2’	2.05	3.10	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:09 +7’	2.25	2.53	4.63
03:39 +1’	2.17▼	2.61▲	4.69▲
11:12 +103’	2.18▲	2.61	4.64▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Criciuma 2–2–2 EC Juventude

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	0-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma
28/07/24 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	1-2 HT 0-0	Criciuma
13/04/24 Brazil Serie A	Criciuma	1-1 HT 1-0	EC Juventude
30/09/23 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	1-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma
08/06/23 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	0-1 HT 0-0	EC Juventude
05/09/18 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	0-1 HT 0-0	Criciuma

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	26	13	8	5	28	15	47
2	Criciuma	26	13	8	5	28	19	47
3	Gremio Novorizontino	26	13	7	6	44	23	46
4	Vila Nova	26	13	5	8	37	30	44
5	Fortaleza	26	12	8	6	29	22	44
6	CRB	26	12	6	8	40	36	42
7	Atletico GO	26	10	10	6	30	25	40
8	Sport Recife	26	9	11	6	34	26	38
9	Nautico	26	10	7	9	31	28	37
10	Operario PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	37
11	Athletic Club MG	26	9	10	7	31	27	37
12	Goias	26	10	6	10	25	31	36
13	Cuiaba	26	8	12	6	23	21	36
14	Sao Bernardo SP	25	8	8	9	34	29	32
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	7	11	29	29	31
16	Ceara	26	8	7	11	27	33	31
17	Avai	26	8	5	13	28	34	29
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	22
19	America MG	26	3	5	18	19	45	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Criciuma	EC Juventude
Cuiaba	2-0 W	2-0 W
CRB	1-2 L	2-1 W
Fortaleza	0-2 L	0-0 D
Botafogo SP	1-1 D	2-4 L
Goias	1-0 W	1-0 W
Gremio Novorizontino	1-0 W	1-0 W
Vila Nova	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Criciuma

WWWDLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
30/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	10	3	L
20/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
15/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
09/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
26/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
22/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
09/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	6	5	W

EC Juventude

WWLWWDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
02/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
26/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
19/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
15/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-4	9	4	L
18/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
11/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Criciuma vs EC Juventude?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Criciuma win (45%). Probabilities: Criciuma 45%, draw 32%, EC Juventude 23%.

How many goals are expected in Criciuma vs EC Juventude?

The model expects 1.75 goals (Criciuma 1.08 · EC Juventude 0.67), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Criciuma vs EC Juventude?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.