Football · Brazil Serie B · 09/09, 01:30

Prediction: Cuiaba vs Athletic Club MG

Team pages: Cuiaba · Athletic Club MG

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Cuiaba1.38

Athletic Club MG0.85

1X2

48% 30% 22%

Cuiaba Draw Athletic Club MG

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cuiaba 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDDWWDWL

Athletic Club MG 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Cuiaba 2–1–0 Athletic Club MG (3 last)

Athletic Club MG0-0Cuiaba
Cuiaba2-1Athletic Club MG
Athletic Club MG0-2Cuiaba

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cuiaba: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cuiaba	Athletic Club MG
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.9	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.87

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.79▲	Pinn 1.79
X	3.18 → 3.22▲	Pinn 3.22
2	5.17 → 5.27▲	Pinn 5.27

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:54	1.77	3.18	5.17
04:44 +1’	1.79▲	3.22▲	5.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cuiaba 2–1–0 Athletic Club MG

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Brazil Serie B	Athletic Club MG	0-0 HT 0-0	Cuiaba
29/09/25 Brazil Serie B	Cuiaba	2-1 HT 1-1	Athletic Club MG
01/06/25 Brazil Serie B	Athletic Club MG	0-2 HT 0-1	Cuiaba

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	26	13	8	5	28	19	47
2	EC Juventude	25	13	7	5	26	13	46
3	Vila Nova	26	13	5	8	37	30	44
4	Gremio Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	43
5	CRB	26	12	6	8	40	36	42
6	Fortaleza	25	11	8	6	28	22	41
7	Atletico GO	25	10	9	6	28	23	39
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	38
9	Nautico	26	10	7	9	31	28	37
10	Operario PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	37
11	Athletic Club MG	26	9	10	7	31	27	37
12	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	36
13	Cuiaba	26	8	12	6	23	21	36
14	Sao Bernardo SP	25	8	8	9	34	29	32
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	7	11	29	29	31
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	29
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	28
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	22
19	America MG	26	3	5	18	19	45	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cuiaba	Athletic Club MG
Criciuma	0-2 L	2-0 W
Ceara	3-1 W	0-0 D
Atletico GO	0-1 L	0-0 D
Sao Bernardo SP	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Athletic Club MG (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cuiaba

DLLDDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
29/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
22/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
20/08	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
15/08	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
09/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
28/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
24/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
18/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
12/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	2-2	2-2	7	4	D

Athletic Club MG

DDWDWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	3-0	5-0	2	5	W
29/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
25/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-4	9	3	L
21/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
16/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
09/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
29/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
24/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
18/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
14/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cuiaba vs Athletic Club MG?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cuiaba win (48%). Probabilities: Cuiaba 48%, draw 30%, Athletic Club MG 22%.

How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs Athletic Club MG?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Cuiaba 1.38 · Athletic Club MG 0.85), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Athletic Club MG?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.