Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 29/08, 11:00

Prediction: Tuggeranong Utd vs Queanbeyan City

Team pages: Tuggeranong Utd · Queanbeyan City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Tuggeranong Utd1.77

Queanbeyan City1.82

1X2

37% 23% 40%

Tuggeranong Utd Draw Queanbeyan City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Tuggeranong Utd 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Queanbeyan City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tuggeranong Utd 2–2–2 Queanbeyan City (6 last)

Queanbeyan City4-2Tuggeranong Utd
Tuggeranong Utd2-1Queanbeyan City
Tuggeranong Utd1-3Queanbeyan City
Queanbeyan City0-0Tuggeranong Utd
Queanbeyan City1-1Tuggeranong Utd
Tuggeranong Utd5-0Queanbeyan City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tuggeranong Utd 1553 · Queanbeyan City 1546

	Tuggeranong Utd	Draw	Queanbeyan City
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tuggeranong Utd	Queanbeyan City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	2.8 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 02:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.38▲	Bet365 2.38
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:09 +3’	2.30	4.00	2.30
23:05 +10’	1.85▼	4.20▲	2.90▲
00:06 +3’	2.10▲	4.00▼	2.55▼
02:44 +15’	2.38▲	4.00	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tuggeranong Utd 2–2–2 Queanbeyan City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/08/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Queanbeyan City	4-2 HT 1-1	Tuggeranong Utd
11/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tuggeranong Utd	2-1 HT 0-0	Queanbeyan City
12/07/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tuggeranong Utd	1-3 HT 0-1	Queanbeyan City
11/06/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Queanbeyan City	0-0 HT 0-0	Tuggeranong Utd
17/05/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Queanbeyan City	1-1 HT 1-1	Tuggeranong Utd
18/09/22 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Tuggeranong Utd	5-0 HT 3-0	Queanbeyan City

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	20	16	1	3	60	27	49
2	Monaro Panthers	20	15	1	4	71	26	46
3	Tigers FC	20	14	2	4	59	24	44
4	Tuggeranong Utd	20	14	0	6	49	39	42
5	Queanbeyan City	20	12	2	6	42	28	38
6	Canberra Juventus	20	12	0	8	42	35	36
7	Canberra Olympic	20	7	2	11	45	55	23
8	O'Connor Knights	20	6	2	12	24	39	20
9	Belconnen United	20	2	3	15	25	50	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	20	3	0	17	15	66	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	20	2	1	17	17	60	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tuggeranong Utd	Queanbeyan City
Canberra Juventus	2-0 W	2-1 W
Brindabella Blues FC	6-0 W	3-0 W
Canberra Olympic	2-1 W	2-2 D
Tigers FC	1-4 L	2-2 D
Canberra White Eagles	2-1 W	2-1 W
Belconnen United	1-0 W	2-1 W
O'Connor Knights	3-2 W	1-0 W
Monaro Panthers	1-6 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tuggeranong Utd (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tuggeranong Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/08	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	4-0	6-0	10	1	W
05/08	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-4	5	3	L
01/08	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
25/07	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	1-4	6	2	L
22/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
11/07	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
28/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
13/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	3-2	4	1	W
10/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-4	1-6	1	1	L

Queanbeyan City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
16/08	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
05/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	4-2	5	3	W
01/08	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
29/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	12	4	L
25/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
11/07	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	2-2	6	1	D
07/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
27/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
20/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tuggeranong Utd vs Queanbeyan City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Queanbeyan City win (40%). Probabilities: Tuggeranong Utd 37%, draw 23%, Queanbeyan City 40%.

How many goals are expected in Tuggeranong Utd vs Queanbeyan City?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Tuggeranong Utd 1.77 · Queanbeyan City 1.82), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tuggeranong Utd vs Queanbeyan City?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.