Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 29/08, 08:00

Prediction: Tigers FC vs Canberra Juventus

Team pages: Tigers FC · Canberra Juventus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Tigers FC2.72

Canberra Juventus1.17

1X2

70% 17% 14%

Tigers FC Draw Canberra Juventus

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Tigers FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDLWDWWWW

Canberra Juventus 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Tigers FC 1–1 Canberra Juventus (2 last)

Canberra Juventus1-5Tigers FC
Tigers FC2-3Canberra Juventus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigers FC 1567 · Canberra Juventus 1465

	Tigers FC	Draw	Canberra Juventus
Our model	69%	17%	13%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers FC (rating 1567 vs 1465).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tigers FC	Canberra Juventus
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 00:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.75 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50
2	6.00 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:04 +8’	1.28	5.75	6.00
23:08 +5’	1.20▼	6.00▲	8.50▲
23:59 +9’	1.28▲	5.50▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigers FC 1–0–1 Canberra Juventus

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra Juventus	1-5 HT 0-2	Tigers FC
15/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	2-3 HT 2-2	Canberra Juventus

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	20	16	1	3	60	27	49
2	Monaro Panthers	20	15	1	4	71	26	46
3	Tigers FC	20	14	2	4	59	24	44
4	Tuggeranong Utd	20	14	0	6	49	39	42
5	Queanbeyan City	20	12	2	6	42	28	38
6	Canberra Juventus	20	12	0	8	42	35	36
7	Canberra Olympic	20	7	2	11	45	55	23
8	O'Connor Knights	20	6	2	12	24	39	20
9	Belconnen United	20	2	3	15	25	50	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	20	3	0	17	15	66	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	20	2	1	17	17	60	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tigers FC	Canberra Juventus
Brindabella Blues FC	6-1 W	2-0 W
Belconnen United	1-0 W	1-0 W
Tuggeranong Utd	4-1 W	0-2 L
Queanbeyan City	2-2 D	1-2 L
Canberra White Eagles	2-0 W	4-2 W
Monaro Panthers	0-2 L	0-3 L
Canberra Croatia FC	1-1 D	0-4 L
O'Connor Knights	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tigers FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tigers FC

WWDLWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-1	6-1	11	2	W
08/08	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-2	5-2	3	2	W
01/08	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
11/07	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-2	3	1	D
04/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
27/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
20/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
14/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
10/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Canberra Juventus

LWWWLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
16/08	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
09/08	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-1	4-2	10	5	W
02/08	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-4	5	5	L
26/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
21/07	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-3	2-5	4	2	L
11/07	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
04/07	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
28/06	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
14/06	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	1-5	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigers FC vs Canberra Juventus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigers FC win (70%). Probabilities: Tigers FC 70%, draw 17%, Canberra Juventus 14%.

How many goals are expected in Tigers FC vs Canberra Juventus?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Tigers FC 2.72 · Canberra Juventus 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Tigers FC vs Canberra Juventus?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.