Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 05/09, 08:00

Prediction: Canberra Croatia FC vs Queanbeyan City

Team pages: Canberra Croatia FC · Queanbeyan City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Canberra Croatia FC2.54

Queanbeyan City1.24

1X2

65% 19% 16%

Canberra Croatia FC Draw Queanbeyan City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Canberra Croatia FC 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWWW

Queanbeyan City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Canberra Croatia FC 4–1–1 Queanbeyan City (6 last)

Canberra Croatia FC4-2Queanbeyan City
Queanbeyan City3-0Canberra Croatia FC
Queanbeyan City1-3Canberra Croatia FC
Queanbeyan City0-2Canberra Croatia FC
Queanbeyan City0-0Canberra Croatia FC
Canberra Croatia FC5-0Queanbeyan City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canberra Croatia FC 1590 · Queanbeyan City 1556

	Canberra Croatia FC	Draw	Queanbeyan City
Our model	65%	19%	16%
Market	65%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Canberra Croatia FC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 15.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canberra Croatia FC	Queanbeyan City
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 8.5	3.3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 22:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.38▼	Bet365 1.38
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.01 ★
2	4.20 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:10 +7’	1.50	4.75	4.20
13:36 +5’	1.27▼	5.50▲	7.00▲
19:07 +19’	1.33▲	5.25▼	6.00▼
22:12 +5’	1.38▲	4.75▼	5.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:17	1.37	5.01	5.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Croatia FC 4–1–1 Queanbeyan City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra Croatia FC	4-2 HT 2-1	Queanbeyan City
31/03/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Queanbeyan City	3-0 HT 2-0	Canberra Croatia FC
10/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Queanbeyan City	1-3 HT 1-1	Canberra Croatia FC
21/06/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Queanbeyan City	0-2 HT 0-1	Canberra Croatia FC
07/06/25 Australia Cup Qualifying	Queanbeyan City	0-0 HT 0-0	Canberra Croatia FC
26/04/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra Croatia FC	5-0 HT 4-0	Queanbeyan City

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	20	16	1	3	60	27	49
2	Monaro Panthers	20	15	1	4	71	26	46
3	Tigers FC	20	14	2	4	59	24	44
4	Tuggeranong Utd	20	14	0	6	49	39	42
5	Queanbeyan City	20	12	2	6	42	28	38
6	Canberra Juventus	20	12	0	8	42	35	36
7	Canberra Olympic	20	7	2	11	45	55	23
8	O'Connor Knights	20	6	2	12	24	39	20
9	Belconnen United	20	2	3	15	25	50	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	20	3	0	17	15	66	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	20	2	1	17	17	60	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canberra Croatia FC	Queanbeyan City
Monaro Panthers	3-2 W	1-2 L
O'Connor Knights	5-4 W	1-0 W
Canberra Juventus	4-0 W	2-1 W
Brindabella Blues FC	2-0 W	3-0 W
Canberra Olympic	3-0 W	2-2 D
Tuggeranong Utd	1-2 L	2-0 W
Tigers FC	1-1 D	2-2 D
Canberra White Eagles	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Canberra Croatia FC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canberra Croatia FC

WDLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	4-0	9	1	W
15/08	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	3-2	4	8	W
08/08	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-3	5-4	10	4	W
02/08	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	4-0	1	5	W
21/07	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-0	5-2	6	2	W
11/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	2-0	13	7	W
05/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
28/06	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	13	1	L
20/06	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
17/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	2-1	19	6	W

Queanbeyan City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
22/08	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
16/08	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
05/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	4-2	5	3	W
01/08	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
29/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	12	4	L
25/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
11/07	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	2-2	6	1	D
07/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
27/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canberra Croatia FC vs Queanbeyan City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Canberra Croatia FC win (65%). Probabilities: Canberra Croatia FC 65%, draw 19%, Queanbeyan City 16%.

How many goals are expected in Canberra Croatia FC vs Queanbeyan City?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Canberra Croatia FC 2.54 · Queanbeyan City 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Canberra Croatia FC vs Queanbeyan City?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.