Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 22/08, 07:00

Prediction: Canberra White Eagles vs Monaro Panthers

Team pages: Canberra White Eagles · Monaro Panthers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.39Total

Canberra White Eagles1.19

Monaro Panthers3.19

1X2

8% 13% 79%

Canberra White Eagles Draw Monaro Panthers

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-3

Recent form · 10 last

Canberra White Eagles 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Monaro Panthers 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Canberra White Eagles 0–1 Monaro Panthers (1 last)

Monaro Panthers2-1Canberra White Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canberra White Eagles 1435 · Monaro Panthers 1599

	Canberra White Eagles	Draw	Monaro Panthers
Our model	10%	14%	76%
Market	7%	11%	81%

Estimated total (ours) 4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monaro Panthers (rating 1435 vs 1599).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canberra White Eagles	Monaro Panthers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	4.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	3.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

113.00

X8.00

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.75)1.90

2 (-2.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	13.00 → 11.00▼	Bet365 11.00
X	8.00 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50
2	1.13 → 1.17▲	Bet365 1.17

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:51 +6’	13.00	8.00	1.13
09:44 +5’	11.00▼	7.50▼	1.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra White Eagles 0–0–1 Monaro Panthers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Monaro Panthers	2-1 HT 0-1	Canberra White Eagles

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	19	15	1	3	56	27	46
2	Tigers FC	20	14	2	4	59	24	44
3	Monaro Panthers	19	14	1	4	66	26	43
4	Tuggeranong Utd	19	13	0	6	47	39	39
5	Canberra Juventus	19	12	0	7	42	33	36
6	Queanbeyan City	19	11	2	6	41	28	35
7	Canberra Olympic	19	6	2	11	40	51	20
8	O'Connor Knights	19	6	2	11	24	38	20
9	Belconnen United	19	2	3	14	25	46	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	19	3	0	16	11	61	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	19	2	1	16	17	55	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canberra White Eagles	Monaro Panthers
O'Connor Knights	1-3 L	1-1 D
Canberra Juventus	2-4 L	3-0 W
Brindabella Blues FC	2-1 W	9-0 W
Tuggeranong Utd	1-2 L	6-1 W
Canberra Olympic	1-2 L	5-2 W
Tigers FC	0-2 L	2-0 W
Queanbeyan City	1-2 L	2-1 W
Canberra Croatia FC	1-2 L	2-3 L
Belconnen United	2-1 W	7-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 7 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monaro Panthers (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canberra White Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-3	6	6	L
09/08	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
25/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
22/07	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
11/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	1-2	7	5	L
04/07	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
27/06	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
17/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
10/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
30/05	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-2	0	2	L

Monaro Panthers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	2-3	3	8	L
08/08	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	7-0	8	2	W
01/08	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
26/07	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
07/07	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
04/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-0	9-0	9	0	W
27/06	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
20/06	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-1	5-2	5	4	W
13/06	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-1	5-2	6	1	W
10/06	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	4-0	6-1	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canberra White Eagles vs Monaro Panthers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Monaro Panthers win (79%). Probabilities: Canberra White Eagles 8%, draw 13%, Monaro Panthers 79%.

How many goals are expected in Canberra White Eagles vs Monaro Panthers?

The model expects 4.39 goals (Canberra White Eagles 1.19 · Monaro Panthers 3.19), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Canberra White Eagles vs Monaro Panthers?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.