Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 05/09, 11:00
Prediction: Monaro Panthers vs Tigers FC
Team pages: Monaro Panthers · Tigers FC
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
Monaro Panthers2.05
Tigers FC1.83
1X2
Monaro Panthers
Draw
Tigers FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Monaro Panthers
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Tigers FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monaro Panthers
1–1–4
Tigers FC
(6 last)
- Monaro Panthers2-0Tigers FC
- Monaro Panthers1-3Tigers FC
- Tigers FC3-1Monaro Panthers
- Tigers FC3-0Monaro Panthers
- Monaro Panthers1-2Tigers FC
- Tigers FC2-2Monaro Panthers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monaro Panthers 1569 · Tigers FC 1598
| Monaro Panthers | Draw | Tigers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 22% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 23% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tigers FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monaro Panthers | Tigers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.1 / 0.9 | 3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monaro Panthers 1–1–4 Tigers FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Monaro Panthers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tigers FC |
| 20/05/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | Monaro Panthers | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Tigers FC |
| 13/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tigers FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Monaro Panthers |
| 20/09/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tigers FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Monaro Panthers |
| 12/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Monaro Panthers | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tigers FC |
| 31/05/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tigers FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Monaro Panthers |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia FC | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 60 | 27 | 49 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 46 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 59 | 24 | 44 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong Utd | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 49 | 39 | 42 |
| 5 | Queanbeyan City | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 38 |
| 6 | Canberra Juventus | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 36 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 55 | 23 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 39 | 20 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 50 | 9 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues FC | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 66 | 9 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 20 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 60 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monaro Panthers | Tigers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Canberra White Eagles | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Canberra Croatia FC | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Belconnen United | 7-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Canberra Juventus | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Queanbeyan City | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Brindabella Blues FC | 9-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Canberra Olympic | 5-2 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Monaro Panthers (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monaro Panthers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 07/07 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
3-0 | 9-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
Tigers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-2 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monaro Panthers vs Tigers FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monaro Panthers win (43%). Probabilities: Monaro Panthers 43%, draw 23%, Tigers FC 34%.
How many goals are expected in Monaro Panthers vs Tigers FC?
The model expects 3.88 goals (Monaro Panthers 2.05 · Tigers FC 1.83), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Monaro Panthers vs Tigers FC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.