Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 22/08, 07:00

Prediction: Queanbeyan City vs O'Connor Knights

Team pages: Queanbeyan City · O'Connor Knights

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Queanbeyan City2.23

O'Connor Knights1.25

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Queanbeyan City Draw O'Connor Knights

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Queanbeyan City 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDLWWW

O'Connor Knights 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDDLW

Head-to-head

Queanbeyan City 2–1–3 O'Connor Knights (6 last)

O'Connor Knights0-4Queanbeyan City
O'Connor Knights0-0Queanbeyan City
Queanbeyan City3-2O'Connor Knights
O'Connor Knights6-0Queanbeyan City
O'Connor Knights6-0Queanbeyan City
O'Connor Knights4-1Queanbeyan City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queanbeyan City 1534 · O'Connor Knights 1456

	Queanbeyan City	Draw	O'Connor Knights
Our model	59%	22%	20%
Market	60%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queanbeyan City (rating 1534 vs 1456).
H2H favours O'Connor Knights: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Queanbeyan City	O'Connor Knights
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.8	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.6	3.1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:55 +2’	1.50	4.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Queanbeyan City 2–1–3 O'Connor Knights

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	O'Connor Knights	0-4 HT 0-0	Queanbeyan City
16/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	O'Connor Knights	0-0 HT 0-0	Queanbeyan City
28/06/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Queanbeyan City	3-2 HT 3-0	O'Connor Knights
03/05/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	O'Connor Knights	6-0 HT 3-0	Queanbeyan City
30/04/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	O'Connor Knights	6-0 HT 4-0	Queanbeyan City
11/05/22 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	O'Connor Knights	4-1 HT 1-1	Queanbeyan City

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	19	15	1	3	56	27	46
2	Tigers FC	20	14	2	4	59	24	44
3	Monaro Panthers	19	14	1	4	66	26	43
4	Tuggeranong Utd	19	13	0	6	47	39	39
5	Canberra Juventus	19	12	0	7	42	33	36
6	Queanbeyan City	19	11	2	6	41	28	35
7	Canberra Olympic	19	6	2	11	40	51	20
8	O'Connor Knights	19	6	2	11	24	38	20
9	Belconnen United	19	2	3	14	25	46	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	19	3	0	16	11	61	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	19	2	1	16	17	55	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Queanbeyan City	O'Connor Knights
Canberra Juventus	2-1 W	0-2 L
Tuggeranong Utd	4-2 W	2-3 L
Brindabella Blues FC	3-0 W	0-1 L
Canberra Olympic	2-2 D	1-0 W
Tigers FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
Monaro Panthers	1-2 L	1-1 D
Canberra White Eagles	2-1 W	3-1 W
Belconnen United	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Queanbeyan City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queanbeyan City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
05/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	4-2	5	3	W
01/08	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
29/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	12	4	L
25/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
11/07	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	2-2	6	1	D
07/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
27/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
20/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-5	1	1	L

O'Connor Knights

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
08/08	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-2	4-5	2	4	L
01/08	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
25/07	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
11/07	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
27/06	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
20/06	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-1	15	3	L
13/06	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	2-3	5	1	L
10/06	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
30/05	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-4	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queanbeyan City vs O'Connor Knights?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Queanbeyan City win (59%). Probabilities: Queanbeyan City 59%, draw 21%, O'Connor Knights 20%.

How many goals are expected in Queanbeyan City vs O'Connor Knights?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Queanbeyan City 2.23 · O'Connor Knights 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Queanbeyan City vs O'Connor Knights?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.