Football · Paraguay Women League · 26/08, 15:00
Prediction: Club Guarani (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)
Team pages: Club Guarani (W) · Nacional-Humaita (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Club Guarani (W)2.63
Nacional-Humaita (W)1.02
1X2
Club Guarani (W)
Draw
Nacional-Humaita (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Guarani (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Nacional-Humaita (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Guarani (W)
5–1–0
Nacional-Humaita (W)
(6 last)
- Nacional-Humaita (W)1-1Club Guarani (W)
- Nacional-Humaita (W)1-7Club Guarani (W)
- Club Guarani (W)1-0Nacional-Humaita (W)
- Nacional-Humaita (W)0-4Club Guarani (W)
- Club Guarani (W)2-0Nacional-Humaita (W)
- Nacional-Humaita (W)0-4Club Guarani (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Guarani (W) 1562 · Nacional-Humaita (W) 1487
| Club Guarani (W) | Draw | Nacional-Humaita (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Market | 71% | 17% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Guarani (W) (rating 1562 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Club Guarani (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Guarani (W) | Nacional-Humaita (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/22/33% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 2.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Guarani (W) 5–1–0 Nacional-Humaita (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Paraguay Women League | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Club Guarani (W) |
| 13/09/25 Paraguay Copa EFE Women | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 1-7 HT 0-4 | Club Guarani (W) |
| 24/05/25 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 1-0 | Nacional-Humaita (W) |
| 07/03/25 Paraguay Women League | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Club Guarani (W) |
| 10/08/24 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nacional-Humaita (W) |
| 24/05/24 Paraguay Women League | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Club Guarani (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 80 | 9 | 47 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 66 | 4 | 47 |
| 3 | Club Guarani (W) | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 39 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 65 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 39 | 28 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 41 | 20 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 56 | 16 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 10 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 62 | 7 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 17 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 78 | 3 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Guarani (W) | Nacional-Humaita (W) |
|---|---|---|
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 1-4 L | 0-6 L |
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Guarani (W) (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Guarani (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
– | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 22/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Nacional-Humaita (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Guarani (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Guarani (W) win (71%). Probabilities: Club Guarani (W) 71%, draw 17%, Nacional-Humaita (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Club Guarani (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Club Guarani (W) 2.63 · Nacional-Humaita (W) 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Guarani (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.