Football · Paraguay Women League · 31/08, 00:30

Prediction: 2 de Mayo (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)

Team pages: 2 de Mayo (W) · Rubio Nu (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

2 de Mayo (W)2.65

Rubio Nu (W)1.35

1X2

64% 19% 17%

2 de Mayo (W) Draw Rubio Nu (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

2 de Mayo (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Rubio Nu (W) 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

2 de Mayo (W) 0–1 Rubio Nu (W) (1 last)

Rubio Nu (W)3-12 de Mayo (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo (W) 1455 · Rubio Nu (W) 1412

	2 de Mayo (W)	Draw	Rubio Nu (W)
Our model	65%	18%	17%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 2 de Mayo (W) (rating 1455 vs 1412).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	2 de Mayo (W)	Rubio Nu (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.9	0.6 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	0/56/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:37 +9’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo (W) 0–0–1 Rubio Nu (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Paraguay Women League	Rubio Nu (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	2 de Mayo (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	19	16	2	1	82	9	50
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	18	16	2	0	74	4	50
3	Club Guarani (W)	19	12	4	3	40	22	40
4	Cerro Porteno (W)	19	12	3	4	67	13	39
5	Nacional-Humaita (W)	20	9	2	9	33	42	29
6	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	19	9	1	9	53	41	28
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	17	8	2	7	25	25	26
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	19	6	2	11	21	43	20
9	2 de Mayo (W)	19	5	1	13	31	60	16
10	Rubio Nu (W)	18	2	4	12	13	57	10
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	19	2	4	13	14	62	10
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	18	0	3	15	11	86	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	2 de Mayo (W)	Rubio Nu (W)
Sportivo Trinidense (W)	1-4 L	0-3 L
Club Guarani (W)	1-4 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	5-2 W	1-1 D
Cerro Porteno (W)	0-6 L	0-6 L
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	2-2 D	0-4 L
Olimpia Asuncion (W)	0-5 L	0-2 L
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	1-3 L	0-7 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: 2 de Mayo (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

2 de Mayo (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	1-2	1-4	1	4	L
22/08	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	1-4	0	1	L
16/08	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
08/08	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	5-2	2	3	W
01/08	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-6	0	3	L
26/07	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/07	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	2-2	6	7	D
18/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-5	0	4	L
12/07	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	5-0	4	2	W
28/06	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-3	2	4	L

Rubio Nu (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-4	4	3	L
23/08	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-4	0-7	5	3	L
17/08	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	–	2-6	2	8	L
09/08	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
02/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-3	0-3	1	7	L
26/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
20/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
16/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
13/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
29/06	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-6	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 2 de Mayo (W) win (64%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo (W) 64%, draw 19%, Rubio Nu (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?

The model expects 4 goals (2 de Mayo (W) 2.65 · Rubio Nu (W) 1.35), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.