Football · Paraguay Women League · 03/09, 19:00

Prediction: Libertad Limpeno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)

Team pages: Libertad Limpeno (W) · 2 de Mayo (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

5.26Total

Libertad Limpeno (W)3.63

2 de Mayo (W)1.63

1X2

85% 8% 7%

Libertad Limpeno (W) Draw 2 de Mayo (W)

Markets

Under 5.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

3-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Libertad Limpeno (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWW

2 de Mayo (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Libertad Limpeno (W) 5–0 2 de Mayo (W) (5 last)

2 de Mayo (W)1-11Libertad Limpeno (W)
2 de Mayo (W)0-1Libertad Limpeno (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)10-12 de Mayo (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)4-12 de Mayo (W)
2 de Mayo (W)1-5Libertad Limpeno (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Libertad Limpeno (W) 1625 · 2 de Mayo (W) 1436

	Libertad Limpeno (W)	Draw	2 de Mayo (W)
Our model	74%	13%	13%
Market	94%	4%	2%

Estimated total (ours) 5.26 goals · Bet365 line 6 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Libertad Limpeno (W) (rating 1625 vs 1436).
H2H favours Libertad Limpeno (W): 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Libertad Limpeno (W)	2 de Mayo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 0.4	1.9 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	78/11/11%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.6	1.1 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.01

X26.00

251.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.25)1.95

2 (+5.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.82

Under 61.98

Diff.: 1.55 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01▲	Bet365 1.01
X	29.00 → 26.00▼	Bet365 26.00
2	67.00 → 51.00▼	Bet365 51.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:31 +18’	1.01	29.00	67.00
23:50 +2’	1.01▲	26.00▼	51.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Libertad Limpeno (W) 5–0–0 2 de Mayo (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Paraguay Women League	2 de Mayo (W)	1-11 HT 0-2	Libertad Limpeno (W)
24/08/25 Paraguay Women League	2 de Mayo (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Libertad Limpeno (W)
20/04/25 Paraguay Women League	Libertad Limpeno (W)	10-1 HT 3-0	2 de Mayo (W)
28/06/24 Paraguay Women League	Libertad Limpeno (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	2 de Mayo (W)
12/06/24 Paraguay Women League	2 de Mayo (W)	1-5 HT 1-4	Libertad Limpeno (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	20	17	2	1	89	9	53
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	19	17	2	0	75	4	53
3	Cerro Porteno (W)	21	14	3	4	73	15	45
4	Club Guarani (W)	21	13	4	4	42	24	43
5	Nacional-Humaita (W)	21	10	2	9	35	43	32
6	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	21	10	1	10	55	42	31
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	19	8	2	9	28	31	26
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	20	7	2	11	23	43	23
9	2 de Mayo (W)	20	5	1	14	31	61	16
10	Rubio Nu (W)	19	3	4	12	14	57	13
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	21	2	4	15	14	71	10
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	20	0	3	17	11	90	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Libertad Limpeno (W)	2 de Mayo (W)
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	7-0 W	2-2 D
Olimpia Asuncion (W)	0-1 L	0-5 L
Rubio Nu (W)	6-2 W	0-1 L
Sportivo Trinidense (W)	2-0 W	1-4 L
Club Guarani (W)	3-0 W	1-4 L
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	4-0 W	3-0 W
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	11-0 W	5-2 W
Cerro Porteno (W)	1-0 W	0-6 L
Nacional-Humaita (W)	3-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Libertad Limpeno (W) (9 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Libertad Limpeno (W)

WWWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	7-0	13	2	W
26/08	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
22/08	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-1	3	10	L
17/08	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	–	6-2	5	8	W
09/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
01/08	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
25/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	4-0	8	5	W
19/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	7-0	11-0	4	3	W
06/07	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
27/06	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-1	6	1	W

2 de Mayo (W)

WLDLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
26/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	1-2	1-4	1	4	L
22/08	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	1-4	0	1	L
16/08	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
08/08	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	5-2	2	3	W
01/08	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-6	0	3	L
26/07	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/07	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	2-2	6	7	D
18/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-5	0	4	L
12/07	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	5-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Libertad Limpeno (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Libertad Limpeno (W) 85%, draw 8%, 2 de Mayo (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?

The model expects 5.26 goals (Libertad Limpeno (W) 3.63 · 2 de Mayo (W) 1.63), with a 57% chance of under 6 goals.

Will both teams score in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.