Football · Paraguay Women League · 03/09, 15:00

Prediction: Rubio Nu (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)

Team pages: Rubio Nu (W) · Nacional-Humaita (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

Rubio Nu (W)0.92

Nacional-Humaita (W)2.48

1X2

11% 18% 71%

Rubio Nu (W) Draw Nacional-Humaita (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Rubio Nu (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Nacional-Humaita (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rubio Nu (W) 1–0 Nacional-Humaita (W) (1 last)

Nacional-Humaita (W)2-3Rubio Nu (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rubio Nu (W) 1450 · Nacional-Humaita (W) 1504

	Rubio Nu (W)	Draw	Nacional-Humaita (W)
Our model	11%	18%	71%
Market	11%	17%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional-Humaita (W) (rating 1450 vs 1504).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rubio Nu (W)	Nacional-Humaita (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.6	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/63/38%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.6	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

18.00

X5.25

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.80

2 (-1.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:37 +11’	8.00	5.25	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubio Nu (W) 1–0–0 Nacional-Humaita (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Paraguay Women League	Nacional-Humaita (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Rubio Nu (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	20	17	2	1	89	9	53
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	19	17	2	0	75	4	53
3	Cerro Porteno (W)	21	14	3	4	73	15	45
4	Club Guarani (W)	21	13	4	4	42	24	43
5	Nacional-Humaita (W)	21	10	2	9	35	43	32
6	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	21	10	1	10	55	42	31
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	19	8	2	9	28	31	26
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	20	7	2	11	23	43	23
9	2 de Mayo (W)	20	5	1	14	31	61	16
10	Rubio Nu (W)	19	3	4	12	14	57	13
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	21	2	4	15	14	71	10
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	20	0	3	17	11	90	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rubio Nu (W)	Nacional-Humaita (W)
2 de Mayo (W)	1-0 W	3-2 W
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	0-4 L	1-0 W
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	0-7 L	1-4 L
Libertad Limpeno (W)	2-6 L	1-3 L
Olimpia Asuncion (W)	0-2 L	0-6 L
Sportivo Trinidense (W)	0-3 L	2-1 W
Club Guarani (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	1-1 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nacional-Humaita (W) (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rubio Nu (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
27/08	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-4	4	3	L
23/08	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-4	0-7	5	3	L
17/08	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	–	2-6	2	8	L
09/08	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
02/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-3	0-3	1	7	L
26/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
20/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
16/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
13/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	–	1-1	–	–	D

Nacional-Humaita (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	2-1	0	3	W
26/08	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
23/08	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
16/08	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	4-0	4-0	8	6	W
08/08	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
02/08	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-4	0-6	2	5	L
26/07	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	3-2	7	5	W
19/07	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
05/07	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-4	7	6	L
27/06	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	1-3	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional-Humaita (W) win (71%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu (W) 11%, draw 18%, Nacional-Humaita (W) 71%.

How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Rubio Nu (W) 0.92 · Nacional-Humaita (W) 2.48), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rubio Nu (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.