Football · Paraguay Women League · 26/08, 13:00
Prediction: Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)
Team pages: Sportivo Trinidense (W) · 2 de Mayo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.35Total
Sportivo Trinidense (W)2.94
2 de Mayo (W)1.41
1X2
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Draw
2 de Mayo (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
2 de Mayo (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
4–1–0
2 de Mayo (W)
(5 last)
- 2 de Mayo (W)2-4Sportivo Trinidense (W)
- Sportivo Trinidense (W)2-02 de Mayo (W)
- 2 de Mayo (W)0-4Sportivo Trinidense (W)
- Sportivo Trinidense (W)5-22 de Mayo (W)
- 2 de Mayo (W)1-1Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1496 · 2 de Mayo (W) 1452
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | Draw | 2 de Mayo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.35 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Trinidense (W) (rating 1496 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Sportivo Trinidense (W): 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 2 de Mayo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 2 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 4–1–0 2 de Mayo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
| 16/06/25 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 22/03/25 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
| 27/07/24 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 5-2 HT 3-2 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 10/05/24 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 80 | 9 | 47 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 66 | 4 | 47 |
| 3 | Club Guarani (W) | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 39 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 65 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 39 | 28 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 41 | 20 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 56 | 16 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 10 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 62 | 7 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 17 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 78 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 2 de Mayo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 0-2 L | 1-11 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Club Guarani (W) | 1-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 3-2 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
2 de Mayo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
3-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 18/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-11 | 0 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Trinidense (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Sportivo Trinidense (W) 67%, draw 18%, 2 de Mayo (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?
The model expects 4.35 goals (Sportivo Trinidense (W) 2.94 · 2 de Mayo (W) 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Trinidense (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.