Football · Paraguay Women League · 27/08, 20:00

Prediction: Rubio Nu (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)

Team pages: Rubio Nu (W) · Sportivo Luqueno (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Rubio Nu (W)1.77

Sportivo Luqueno (W)1.36

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Rubio Nu (W) Draw Sportivo Luqueno (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Rubio Nu (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Sportivo Luqueno (W) 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rubio Nu (W) 0–1–0 Sportivo Luqueno (W) (1 last)

Sportivo Luqueno (W)1-1Rubio Nu (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rubio Nu (W) 1439 · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1373

	Rubio Nu (W)	Draw	Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Our model	46%	25%	28%
Market	45%	27%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rubio Nu (W) (rating 1439 vs 1373).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rubio Nu (W)	Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3	0.5 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.3	0.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/56/44%	11/11/78%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.5	1.4 / 1.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +5’	2.00	3.30	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubio Nu (W) 0–1–0 Sportivo Luqueno (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Rubio Nu (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	18	15	2	1	80	9	47
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	17	15	2	0	66	4	47
3	Club Guarani (W)	18	12	3	3	39	21	39
4	Cerro Porteno (W)	18	11	3	4	65	13	36
5	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	18	9	1	8	53	39	28
6	Nacional-Humaita (W)	19	9	1	9	32	41	28
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	16	7	2	7	21	24	23
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	18	6	2	10	21	41	20
9	2 de Mayo (W)	18	5	1	12	30	56	16
10	Rubio Nu (W)	17	2	4	11	13	53	10
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	18	1	4	13	10	62	7
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	17	0	3	14	11	78	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rubio Nu (W)	Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	0-7 L	1-6 L
Olimpia Asuncion (W)	0-2 L	0-7 L
Sportivo Trinidense (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
Club Guarani (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Cerro Porteno (W)	0-6 L	0-6 L
Nacional-Humaita (W)	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Rubio Nu (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rubio Nu (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-4	0-7	5	3	L
17/08	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	–	2-6	2	8	L
09/08	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
02/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-3	0-3	1	7	L
26/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
20/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
16/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
13/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
29/06	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-6	0	2	L
31/05	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	3-2	3	5	W

Sportivo Luqueno (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
15/08	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	–	0-3	1	2	L
10/08	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
03/08	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
27/07	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-6	0	4	L
22/07	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
19/07	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
12/07	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-5	5	2	L
27/06	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-3	0-7	0	1	L
31/05	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	1-4	1-6	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rubio Nu (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu (W) 46%, draw 26%, Sportivo Luqueno (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Rubio Nu (W) 1.77 · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1.36), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rubio Nu (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.