Prediction: Cagliari vs Lecce
- Cagliari0-2Lecce
- Lecce1-2Cagliari
- Cagliari4-1Lecce
- Lecce1-0Cagliari
- Cagliari1-1Lecce
- Lecce1-1Cagliari
| Cagliari | Draw | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cagliari | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.1 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cagliari 2–2–2 Lecce
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Lecce |
| 19/09/25 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Cagliari |
| 19/01/25 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Lecce |
| 31/08/24 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cagliari |
| 05/05/24 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lecce |
| 06/01/24 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cagliari |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Como | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cagliari | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Atalanta | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Sassuolo | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cagliari (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cagliari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/04 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Lecce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/04 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cagliari vs Lecce?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cagliari win (46%). Probabilities: Cagliari 46%, draw 31%, Lecce 23%.
How many goals are expected in Cagliari vs Lecce?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Cagliari 1.21 · Lecce 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Lecce?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.