Football · Italy Serie A · 13/09, 12:30

Prediction: Torino vs Roma

Team pages: Torino · Roma

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Torino0.84
Roma1.81
1X2
16% 25% 59%
Torino Draw Roma
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Torino 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDDLWLDLLW
Roma 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Torino 2–4 Roma (6 last)
  • Torino0-2Roma
  • Roma2-3Torino
  • Roma0-1Torino
  • Torino0-2Roma
  • Roma1-0Torino
  • Roma3-2Torino
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torino 1502 · Roma 1603
TorinoDrawRoma
Our model16%25%59%
Market16%25%59%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma (rating 1502 vs 1603).
  • H2H favours Roma: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TorinoRoma
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.52.7 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.71.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.52.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 03 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Torino 204 Roma

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Italy Serie A
Torino0-2
HT 0-1
Roma
13/01/26
Coppa Italia
Roma2-3
HT 0-1
Torino
14/09/25
Italy Serie A
Roma0-1
HT 0-0
Torino
25/05/25
Italy Serie A
Torino0-2
HT 0-1
Roma
31/10/24
Italy Serie A
Roma1-0
HT 1-0
Torino
26/02/24
Italy Serie A
Roma3-2
HT 1-1
Torino

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Roma 3300 1019
2 Inter Milan 3300 839
3 Como 3210 737
4 Frosinone 3201 636
5 AC Milan 2200 416
6 Juventus 2200 306
7 Lazio 2200 206
8 Atalanta 3201 436
9 Udinese 2110 434
10 Napoli 3102 553
11 Sassuolo 2101 333
12 Cagliari 2101 113
13 Torino 3102 453
14 Lecce 2101 243
15 Parma 3012 141
16 Monza 3012 481
17 Bologna 2002 020
18 Venezia 3003 270
19 Genoa 3003 170
20 Fiorentina 3003 190

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTorinoRoma
Fiorentina 2-1 W 4-0 W
Verona 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Roma (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torino

WDDLWLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 50 W
29/08 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-2 34 L
23/08 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 21 L
24/05 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 63 D
17/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-2 1-2 12 L
08/05 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 76 W
02/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 22 L
26/04 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 53 D
19/04 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 13 D
11/04 Verona
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 35 W

Roma

WDWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 141 W
31/08 Lecce
Italy Serie A
3-0 4-0 12 W
24/08 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
1-0 4-0 24 W
24/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 64 W
17/05 Lazio
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 87 W
10/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
1-0 3-2 64 W
04/05 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
3-0 4-0 44 W
25/04 Bologna
Italy Serie A
2-0 2-0 73 W
18/04 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-1 1-1 73 D
10/04 Pisa
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torino vs Roma?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Roma win (59%). Probabilities: Torino 16%, draw 25%, Roma 59%.

How many goals are expected in Torino vs Roma?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Torino 0.84 · Roma 1.81), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Torino vs Roma?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.