Prediction: Napoli vs Bologna
- Napoli2-3Bologna
- Napoli2-0Bologna
- Bologna2-0Napoli
- Bologna1-1Napoli
- Napoli3-0Bologna
- Napoli0-2Bologna
| Napoli | Draw | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Napoli (rating 1503 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Bologna: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Napoli | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Napoli 2–1–3 Bologna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Bologna |
| 22/12/25 Italy Super Cup | Napoli | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bologna |
| 09/11/25 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Napoli |
| 07/04/25 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Napoli |
| 25/08/24 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Bologna |
| 11/05/24 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Bologna |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Udinese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Napoli | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 2-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Lazio | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bologna (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Napoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Napoli vs Bologna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Napoli win (51%). Probabilities: Napoli 51%, draw 27%, Bologna 22%.
How many goals are expected in Napoli vs Bologna?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Napoli 1.58 · Bologna 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Napoli vs Bologna?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.