Prediction: Como vs Parma
- Como1-0Parma
- Parma0-0Como
- Parma0-1Como
- Como1-1Parma
- Como1-1Parma
- Parma2-1Como
| Como | Draw | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 22% | 6% |
| Market | 74% | 17% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Como (rating 1565 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Como: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Como | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.2 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Como 2–3–1 Parma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Italy Serie A | Como | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Parma |
| 25/10/25 Italy Serie A | Parma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Como |
| 03/05/25 Italy Serie A | Parma | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Como |
| 19/10/24 Italy Serie A | Como | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Parma |
| 24/02/24 Italy Serie B | Como | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Parma |
| 20/10/23 Italy Serie B | Parma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Como |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Como | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Udinese | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sassuolo | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Inter Milan | 3-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Como
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 10 | L |
Parma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Como vs Parma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Como win (73%). Probabilities: Como 73%, draw 19%, Parma 8%.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Parma?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Como 1.8 · Parma 0.37), with a 60% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Como vs Parma?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.