Football · Italy Serie A · 13/09, 20:45

Prediction: Sassuolo vs Juventus

Team pages: Sassuolo · Juventus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Sassuolo0.69
Juventus1.54
1X2
16% 26% 58%
Sassuolo Draw Juventus
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sassuolo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWDWLLLLWD
Juventus 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDDWLDWW
Head-to-head
Sassuolo 2–1–3 Juventus (6 last)
  • Juventus1-1Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo0-3Juventus
  • Juventus3-0Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo4-2Juventus
  • Sassuolo1-0Juventus
  • Juventus3-0Sassuolo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sassuolo 1459 · Juventus 1608
SassuoloDrawJuventus
Our model15%28%57%
Market17%25%58%
Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventus (rating 1459 vs 1608).
  • H2H favours Juventus: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SassuoloJuventus
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.41.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.74.2 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.33.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sassuolo 213 Juventus

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Italy Serie A
Juventus1-1
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
06/01/26
Italy Serie A
Sassuolo0-3
HT 0-1
Juventus
16/01/24
Italy Serie A
Juventus3-0
HT 2-0
Sassuolo
23/09/23
Italy Serie A
Sassuolo4-2
HT 2-1
Juventus
16/04/23
Italy Serie A
Sassuolo1-0
HT 0-0
Juventus
15/08/22
Italy Serie A
Juventus3-0
HT 2-0
Sassuolo

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 4310 6310
2 Roma 3300 1019
3 Inter Milan 3300 839
4 Cagliari 4301 429
5 AC Milan 4220 748
6 Como 3210 737
7 Frosinone 4211 747
8 Juventus 3210 417
9 Atalanta 4202 556
10 Sassuolo 3111 554
10 Udinese 3111 554
12 Napoli 3102 553
13 Torino 3102 453
14 Lecce 3102 253
15 Fiorentina 4103 5113
16 Bologna 3012 241
17 Parma 3012 141
18 Monza 3012 481
19 Genoa 4013 281
20 Venezia 4004 4110

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSassuoloJuventus
Bologna 2-2 D 2-0 W
Torino 2-1 W 2-2 D
Atalanta 1-2 L 1-0 W
Parma 0-1 L 2-0 W
Lecce 2-3 L 1-0 W
AC Milan 2-0 W 0-0 D
Fiorentina 0-0 D 0-2 L
Genoa 1-2 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 4 L 5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Juventus (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sassuolo

LWDWLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Bologna
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-2 74 D
29/08 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 44 W
23/08 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-2 40 L
24/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 14 L
17/05 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-2 2-3 25 L
08/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 56 L
03/05 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 28 W
26/04 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 43 D
17/04 Como
Italy Serie A
2-1 2-1 56 W
12/04 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-2 37 L

Juventus

WWWDDWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 105 W
23/08 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 124 W
24/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-2 63 D
17/05 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 64 L
09/05 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 72 W
03/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 145 D
26/04 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 35 D
19/04 Bologna
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 61 W
11/04 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 24 W
06/04 Genoa
Italy Serie A
2-0 2-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventus win (58%). Probabilities: Sassuolo 16%, draw 26%, Juventus 58%.

How many goals are expected in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Sassuolo 0.69 · Juventus 1.54), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.