Prediction: Atalanta vs Cagliari
Team pages: Atalanta · Cagliari
- Cagliari3-2Atalanta
- Atalanta2-1Cagliari
- Atalanta0-0Cagliari
- Cagliari0-1Atalanta
- Cagliari2-1Atalanta
- Atalanta2-0Cagliari
| Atalanta | Draw | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 28% | 14% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atalanta (rating 1565 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Atalanta: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atalanta | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atalanta 3–1–2 Cagliari
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Atalanta |
| 13/12/25 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cagliari |
| 15/02/25 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cagliari |
| 14/12/24 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atalanta |
| 07/04/24 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atalanta |
| 24/09/23 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cagliari |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atalanta | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sassuolo | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| AC Milan | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atalanta (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atalanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/08 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Roma Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
Cagliari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/04 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atalanta win (59%). Probabilities: Atalanta 59%, draw 26%, Cagliari 15%.
How many goals are expected in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Atalanta 1.51 · Cagliari 0.62), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.