Football · Italy Serie A · 14/09, 20:45

Prediction: Inter Milan vs Udinese

Team pages: Inter Milan · Udinese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Inter Milan2.13
Udinese0.57
1X2
73% 19% 8%
Inter Milan Draw Udinese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Milan 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWWDDWWW
Udinese 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDWWLLDW
Head-to-head
Inter Milan 5–1 Udinese (6 last)
  • Udinese0-1Inter Milan
  • Inter Milan1-2Udinese
  • Inter Milan2-1Udinese
  • Inter Milan2-0Udinese
  • Udinese2-3Inter Milan
  • Udinese1-2Inter Milan
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Milan 1639 · Udinese 1511
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
Our model73%19%8%
Market73%18%9%
Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (rating 1639 vs 1511).
  • H2H favours Inter Milan: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter MilanUdinese
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.21.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.21.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.12.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Milan 501 Udinese

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
Italy Serie A
Udinese0-1
HT 0-1
Inter Milan
31/08/25
Italy Serie A
Inter Milan1-2
HT 1-2
Udinese
30/03/25
Italy Serie A
Inter Milan2-1
HT 2-0
Udinese
19/12/24
Coppa Italia
Inter Milan2-0
HT 2-0
Udinese
28/09/24
Italy Serie A
Udinese2-3
HT 1-2
Inter Milan
08/04/24
Italy Serie A
Udinese1-2
HT 1-0
Inter Milan

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 4310 6310
2 Roma 3300 1019
3 Inter Milan 3300 839
4 Cagliari 4301 429
5 AC Milan 4220 748
6 Como 3210 737
7 Frosinone 4211 747
8 Juventus 3210 417
9 Atalanta 4202 556
10 Sassuolo 3111 554
10 Udinese 3111 554
12 Napoli 3102 553
13 Torino 3102 453
14 Lecce 3102 253
15 Fiorentina 4103 5113
16 Bologna 3012 241
17 Parma 3012 141
18 Monza 3012 481
19 Genoa 4013 281
20 Venezia 4004 4110

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInter MilanUdinese
Napoli 3-2 W 0-1 L
Cagliari 1-0 W 2-0 W
Monza 4-1 W 3-2 W
Lazio 3-0 W 3-3 D
Parma 2-0 W 0-1 L
Torino 2-2 D 2-0 W
Como 4-3 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Milan (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Milan

WWDWWDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-0 3-2 103 W
30/08 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 63 W
22/08 Monza
Italy Serie A
1-1 4-1 34 W
23/05 Bologna
Italy Serie A
1-2 3-3 42 D
17/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-1 102 D
09/05 Lazio
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 14 W
03/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 81 W
26/04 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-2 53 D
17/04 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 3-0 42 W
12/04 Como
Italy Serie A
1-2 4-3 110 W

Udinese

DWLDWWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Monza
Italy Serie A
3-1 3-2 31 W
22/08 Como
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-1 13 D
24/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 34 L
17/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 54 L
09/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 43 W
02/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 52 W
27/04 Lazio
Italy Serie A
1-0 3-3 54 D
18/04 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 102 L
11/04 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 32 W
06/04 Como
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Milan vs Udinese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Milan win (73%). Probabilities: Inter Milan 73%, draw 19%, Udinese 8%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Milan vs Udinese?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Inter Milan 2.13 · Udinese 0.57), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Milan vs Udinese?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.