Football · Italy Serie A · 07/09, 20:45

Prediction: Udinese vs Lazio

Team pages: Udinese · Lazio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Udinese1.06
Lazio1.15
1X2
32% 31% 36%
Udinese Draw Lazio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Udinese 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDWWLLDW
Lazio 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DLWDWLLWWW
Head-to-head
Udinese 2–3–1 Lazio (6 last)
  • Lazio3-3Udinese
  • Udinese1-1Lazio
  • Lazio1-1Udinese
  • Udinese2-1Lazio
  • Lazio1-2Udinese
  • Udinese1-2Lazio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udinese 1522 · Lazio 1573
UdineseDrawLazio
Our model32%32%36%
Market32%31%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lazio (rating 1522 vs 1573).
  • H2H favours Udinese: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UdineseLazio
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.51.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.14.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Udinese 231 Lazio

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/26
Italy Serie A
Lazio3-3
HT 0-1
Udinese
27/12/25
Italy Serie A
Udinese1-1
HT 0-0
Lazio
10/03/25
Italy Serie A
Lazio1-1
HT 1-1
Udinese
24/08/24
Italy Serie A
Udinese2-1
HT 1-0
Lazio
11/03/24
Italy Serie A
Lazio1-2
HT 0-0
Udinese
07/01/24
Italy Serie A
Udinese1-2
HT 0-1
Lazio

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Roma 2200 806
2 Inter Milan 2200 516
3 AC Milan 2200 416
4 Juventus 2200 306
5 Atalanta 2200 316
6 Lazio 2200 206
7 Udinese 2110 434
8 Como 2110 324
9 Frosinone 2101 313
10 Napoli 2101 323
11 Sassuolo 2101 333
12 Cagliari 2101 113
13 Lecce 2101 243
14 Torino 2002 240
15 Bologna 2002 020
16 Genoa 2002 030
16 Parma 2002 030
18 Monza 2002 370
19 Venezia 2002 040
20 Fiorentina 2002 070

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUdineseLazio
Napoli 0-1 L 2-0 W
Cremonese 0-1 L 2-1 W
Parma 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Lazio (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udinese

DWLDWWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Monza
Italy Serie A
3-1 3-2 31 W
22/08 Como
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-1 13 D
24/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 34 L
17/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 54 L
09/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 43 W
02/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 52 W
27/04 Lazio
Italy Serie A
1-0 3-3 54 D
18/04 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 102 L
11/04 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 32 W
06/04 Como
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 65 D

Lazio

DLWDWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Genoa
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 43 W
24/08 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 68 W
23/05 Pisa
Italy Serie A
2-1 2-1 53 W
17/05 Roma
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 37 L
09/05 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-2 0-3 54 L
04/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-1 33 W
27/04 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 3-3 44 D
18/04 Napoli
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 04 W
13/04 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 65 L
04/04 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 73 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udinese vs Lazio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lazio win (36%). Probabilities: Udinese 32%, draw 31%, Lazio 36%.

How many goals are expected in Udinese vs Lazio?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Udinese 1.06 · Lazio 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Lazio?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.