Prediction: Roma vs Atalanta
- Roma1-1Atalanta
- Atalanta1-0Roma
- Atalanta2-1Roma
- Roma0-2Atalanta
- Atalanta2-1Roma
- Roma1-1Atalanta
| Roma | Draw | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 29% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Atalanta: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roma | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 1.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roma 0–2–4 Atalanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Italy Serie A | Roma | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atalanta |
| 03/01/26 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Roma |
| 12/05/25 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Roma |
| 02/12/24 Italy Serie A | Roma | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Atalanta |
| 12/05/24 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Roma |
| 07/01/24 Italy Serie A | Roma | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atalanta |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roma | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Verona | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Bologna | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Lecce | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Atalanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Roma Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Verona Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roma vs Atalanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roma win (50%). Probabilities: Roma 50%, draw 28%, Atalanta 22%.
How many goals are expected in Roma vs Atalanta?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Roma 1.56 · Atalanta 0.97), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Roma vs Atalanta?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.