Prediction: Genoa vs Como
- Genoa0-2Como
- Como1-1Genoa
- Como1-0Genoa
- Genoa1-1Como
- Como2-2Genoa
- Genoa1-1Como
| Genoa | Draw | Como | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 27% | 53% |
| Market | 19% | 28% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Como (rating 1453 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Como: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Genoa | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 3.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genoa 0–4–2 Como
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Como |
| 15/09/25 Italy Serie A | Como | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Genoa |
| 27/04/25 Italy Serie A | Como | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Genoa |
| 07/11/24 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Como |
| 10/04/23 Italy Serie B | Como | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Genoa |
| 13/11/22 Italy Serie B | Genoa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Como |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Genoa | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Pisa | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Sassuolo | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Udinese | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Como (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/03 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Como
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 06/04 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genoa vs Como?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Como win (53%). Probabilities: Genoa 20%, draw 28%, Como 53%.
How many goals are expected in Genoa vs Como?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Genoa 0.89 · Como 1.6), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Como?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.