Prediction: Bologna vs Sassuolo
Team pages: Bologna · Sassuolo
- Sassuolo0-1Bologna
- Bologna1-1Sassuolo
- Bologna4-2Sassuolo
- Sassuolo1-1Bologna
- Sassuolo1-1Bologna
- Bologna3-0Sassuolo
| Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Bologna: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bologna | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bologna 3–3–0 Sassuolo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bologna |
| 28/12/25 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sassuolo |
| 03/02/24 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Sassuolo |
| 28/10/23 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bologna |
| 08/05/23 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bologna |
| 12/11/22 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sassuolo |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Como | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Venezia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bologna | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Cagliari | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Lecce | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bologna (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Sassuolo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Como Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bologna vs Sassuolo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bologna win (49%). Probabilities: Bologna 49%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 23%.
How many goals are expected in Bologna vs Sassuolo?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Bologna 1.65 · Sassuolo 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Sassuolo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.