Football · Serbia Super Liga · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs FK Radnik Surdulica

Team pages: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo · FK Radnik Surdulica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1.3

FK Radnik Surdulica0.81

1X2

48% 29% 23%

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Draw FK Radnik Surdulica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDWDDDDL

FK Radnik Surdulica 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWDLDDLW

Head-to-head

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 5–1–0 FK Radnik Surdulica (6 last)

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1-1FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1-0FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Radnik Surdulica1-2FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo4-0FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo3-1FK Radnik Surdulica
FK Radnik Surdulica0-1FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1493 · FK Radnik Surdulica 1491

	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	Draw	FK Radnik Surdulica
Our model	47%	31%	22%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	FK Radnik Surdulica
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.9	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.40

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:48 +5’	1.91	3.40	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 5–1–0 FK Radnik Surdulica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Radnik Surdulica
31/01/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Radnik Surdulica
24/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnik Surdulica	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
13/05/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	4-0 HT 2-0	FK Radnik Surdulica
02/04/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	3-1 HT 3-1	FK Radnik Surdulica
28/10/23 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnik Surdulica	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	4	4	0	0	14	1	12
2	Vojvodina	6	4	0	2	10	6	12
3	IMT Novi Belgrade	6	3	1	2	8	4	10
4	Mladost Lucani	6	2	4	0	7	4	10
5	FK Cukaricki	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	FK Radnicki 1923	5	3	0	2	6	5	9
7	FK Radnik Surdulica	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
8	OFK Beograd	6	2	2	2	7	9	8
9	FK Novi Pazar	6	2	1	3	4	7	7
10	FK Macva Sabac	6	2	0	4	4	12	6
11	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
12	Partizan Belgrade	5	1	1	3	7	9	4
13	Radnicki Nis	5	1	1	3	2	5	4
14	FK Zemun	6	0	1	5	2	12	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	FK Radnik Surdulica
Vojvodina	0-1 L	1-4 L
FK Cukaricki	0-0 D	2-2 D
FK Novi Pazar	2-2 D	1-0 W
OFK Beograd	2-0 W	1-1 D
Crvena Zvezda	2-2 D	0-0 D
Partizan Belgrade	1-2 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

WLDDWDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
03/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
22/05	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
17/05	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-2	1	2	D
09/05	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
02/05	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
26/04	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
22/04	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	2-1	2-2	1	3	D
18/04	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
08/04	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	4	3	W

FK Radnik Surdulica

LDDWDLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	7	8	W
23/05	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
17/05	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
09/05	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
04/05	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-4	7	5	L
26/04	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
22/04	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
18/04	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-2	6	5	D
09/04	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
05/04	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	1-2	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs FK Radnik Surdulica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win (48%). Probabilities: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 48%, draw 29%, FK Radnik Surdulica 23%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs FK Radnik Surdulica?

The model expects 2.12 goals (FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1.3 · FK Radnik Surdulica 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs FK Radnik Surdulica?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.